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Guion Slapped With 3 Games
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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 626432"><p>Pennel is also a restricted FA for <s>2016</s> 2017, so that's the entire base rotation over the next 2 years.</p><p></p><p>James Jones is on a one year deal, Neal and Perry are FAs, Barclay too. Crosby is looking like he's having a career year. Add Hayward to the list. JJ, Perry and Hayward are probably gone unless in the off chance they agree to very modest deals. Barclay has been handy, if merely serviceable, and with most of the O-Line hitting free agency in 2017 you'd think he'd be kept around. Neal is solid and versatile.</p><p></p><p>The Packers currently have $123 mil in current cap commitments for 2016.</p><p></p><p>Projections for the 2016 cap are frequently reported in the $150 - $160 mil range. Let's split the difference and call it $155 mil. Using that assumption, along with the $11 mil in current cap space that can be carried over (assuming no further IR assignments/FA signings/PS promotions), Thompson/Ball will have $44 mil to work with. Of course subtractions need to made for the 2016 draft class and perhaps some injury replacement signings this season and next, with a minimum $5 mil held in emergency reserve at the start of 2016. Let's call it $38 mil to work with.</p><p></p><p>So, on the surface, that $38 mil should be adequate to get done what needs to be done for 2016. But what about the cap that will need to be carried over to 2017, where the following players will be FAs:</p><p></p><p>Sitton</p><p>Lang</p><p>Bakhtiari</p><p>Tretter (as a possible replacement for one of the above)</p><p>Lacy</p><p>Peppers (likely finished by then, but replacing that production will be quite difficult)</p><p>Hyde</p><p>Datone Jones (can he become a player worth keeping?)</p><p>Barrington / Palmer</p><p>Elliott (restricted; if he's a productive/high snap count guy in 2016 with Neal and/or Perry departing, he might draw a second round tender, maybe as high as first round tender if he proves up)</p><p>Pennel (restricted; see comments on Elliott above)</p><p></p><p>Taking a 2 year view, Thompson and Ball will have more than their hands full.</p><p></p><p>We explored this issue at some length in the off season. My conclusion then, as it is now, is that 2015 and 2016 are a prime window before an apparent wall in 2017. Outstanding drafts in 2016 and 2017 could neutralize the affect; mediocre drafts will likely prove problematic.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 626432"] Pennel is also a restricted FA for [S]2016[/S] 2017, so that's the entire base rotation over the next 2 years. James Jones is on a one year deal, Neal and Perry are FAs, Barclay too. Crosby is looking like he's having a career year. Add Hayward to the list. JJ, Perry and Hayward are probably gone unless in the off chance they agree to very modest deals. Barclay has been handy, if merely serviceable, and with most of the O-Line hitting free agency in 2017 you'd think he'd be kept around. Neal is solid and versatile. The Packers currently have $123 mil in current cap commitments for 2016. Projections for the 2016 cap are frequently reported in the $150 - $160 mil range. Let's split the difference and call it $155 mil. Using that assumption, along with the $11 mil in current cap space that can be carried over (assuming no further IR assignments/FA signings/PS promotions), Thompson/Ball will have $44 mil to work with. Of course subtractions need to made for the 2016 draft class and perhaps some injury replacement signings this season and next, with a minimum $5 mil held in emergency reserve at the start of 2016. Let's call it $38 mil to work with. So, on the surface, that $38 mil should be adequate to get done what needs to be done for 2016. But what about the cap that will need to be carried over to 2017, where the following players will be FAs: Sitton Lang Bakhtiari Tretter (as a possible replacement for one of the above) Lacy Peppers (likely finished by then, but replacing that production will be quite difficult) Hyde Datone Jones (can he become a player worth keeping?) Barrington / Palmer Elliott (restricted; if he's a productive/high snap count guy in 2016 with Neal and/or Perry departing, he might draw a second round tender, maybe as high as first round tender if he proves up) Pennel (restricted; see comments on Elliott above) Taking a 2 year view, Thompson and Ball will have more than their hands full. We explored this issue at some length in the off season. My conclusion then, as it is now, is that 2015 and 2016 are a prime window before an apparent wall in 2017. Outstanding drafts in 2016 and 2017 could neutralize the affect; mediocre drafts will likely prove problematic. [/QUOTE]
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Prior to Training Camp - Predicting the 53 Man Roster