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Free Agents you would like to see sign with Green Bay in 2019?
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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 819060"><p>Someone not in his right mind might offer Thomas that kind of contract, which in Berry's case represented a 4 year committment until the dead cap/cap savings reached tolerable levels for release at age 33 if circumstances demanded. In Thomas' case it would be age 34.</p><p></p><p>There is a baseline of probable outcomes: accumulated injuries accelerate effective age, advancing age increases the chance of injury which is the other side of the same coin as declining athleticism, RBs with repeated 350-400 touch seasons present high risk. D-Linemen with repeated 80-90% snap count seasons age fast.</p><p></p><p>There are freaks of nature, such as Peppers or Peterson, but these are rare exceptions which argue against the kinds of long term contracts offered Berry (or Thomas if someone is crazy enough to offer something similar).</p><p></p><p>A sensible approach to aging players is illustrated in the Rams signing Suh for 1 year, $14 mil. Age 31, a high snap count D-Lineman, less dominant than he once was but with gas still in the tank, while being durable in not having missed a game in the previous 6 years. It's not hard to see how the Rams might view Suh as a missing piece that could get them over the top at some cost while mitigating the risk of a multi-year contract. They were in position for a "win now" move while this deal did not have the cap overhang if it didn't happen. Reportedly, Suh turned down better offers, presumably for more than one year, another exceptional turn of events in Suh going for the win over the money. So long as multi-year offers for aging players are the order of the day most players will take them and perpetuate the foolishness.</p><p></p><p>We can quibble about Thompson's misses increasingly outnumbering hits as the years wore on in terms of who he let go in free agency and who he extended, but the overall approach was sound: stay young, draft and develop, exploit the advantage in cheap rookie contracts, limit going multi-year with aging players. The problem was that he lost his draft mojo that was evident in the earlier years and the overall age of the roster increased and quality of the roster eroded as a result.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 819060"] Someone not in his right mind might offer Thomas that kind of contract, which in Berry's case represented a 4 year committment until the dead cap/cap savings reached tolerable levels for release at age 33 if circumstances demanded. In Thomas' case it would be age 34. There is a baseline of probable outcomes: accumulated injuries accelerate effective age, advancing age increases the chance of injury which is the other side of the same coin as declining athleticism, RBs with repeated 350-400 touch seasons present high risk. D-Linemen with repeated 80-90% snap count seasons age fast. There are freaks of nature, such as Peppers or Peterson, but these are rare exceptions which argue against the kinds of long term contracts offered Berry (or Thomas if someone is crazy enough to offer something similar). A sensible approach to aging players is illustrated in the Rams signing Suh for 1 year, $14 mil. Age 31, a high snap count D-Lineman, less dominant than he once was but with gas still in the tank, while being durable in not having missed a game in the previous 6 years. It's not hard to see how the Rams might view Suh as a missing piece that could get them over the top at some cost while mitigating the risk of a multi-year contract. They were in position for a "win now" move while this deal did not have the cap overhang if it didn't happen. Reportedly, Suh turned down better offers, presumably for more than one year, another exceptional turn of events in Suh going for the win over the money. So long as multi-year offers for aging players are the order of the day most players will take them and perpetuate the foolishness. We can quibble about Thompson's misses increasingly outnumbering hits as the years wore on in terms of who he let go in free agency and who he extended, but the overall approach was sound: stay young, draft and develop, exploit the advantage in cheap rookie contracts, limit going multi-year with aging players. The problem was that he lost his draft mojo that was evident in the earlier years and the overall age of the roster increased and quality of the roster eroded as a result. [/QUOTE]
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