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FAVRE MIGHT BE BACK, BUT HAVEL APPARENTLY WON'T BE
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<blockquote data-quote="Greg C." data-source="post: 133013" data-attributes="member: 195"><p>Interesting. I wonder what happened with Havel. He had been at the Press Gazette for quite a few years, hadn't he? I expect him to resurface somewhere. </p><p></p><p>I found the entire Cliff Cristl chat very interesting, although maybe he takes the "playmaker" theory a bit too far. With the Patriots, for example, I agree that Tom Brady is a special player, but he wasn't considered to be special until after he'd won two Super Bowls. </p><p></p><p>I especially enjoyed Cristl's breakdown of the percentages of Hall of Fame or Pro Bowl players who are taken at different spots in the draft, and how that relates to the NFL's point value system:</p><p></p><p>"It's possible the No. 1 pick could be a bust and that some day another sixth-round pick will be a Hall of Famer. But the fact is that you have a 33% chance of landing a Pro Bowl player at No. 16 and a less than 1% chance of drafting a Hall of Famer. With the No. 1 pick, you have about a 60% chance of drafting a Pro Bowl player and upwards of a 20% chance of drafting a Hall of Famer. So, again, there's nothing wrong with pipedreams. But there's a reason in the NFL point value system why the first pick is worth 3,000 points; the 16th pick, 1,000 points; and the 32nd, or last pick of the first round, 590 points. By the way, the 199th pick, where Brady was drafted, is worth 11.8 points. Then again, when Brady goes in the Hall of Fame, he may be the first sixth round pick to make it. So far, there haven'tbeen any."</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Greg C., post: 133013, member: 195"] Interesting. I wonder what happened with Havel. He had been at the Press Gazette for quite a few years, hadn't he? I expect him to resurface somewhere. I found the entire Cliff Cristl chat very interesting, although maybe he takes the "playmaker" theory a bit too far. With the Patriots, for example, I agree that Tom Brady is a special player, but he wasn't considered to be special until after he'd won two Super Bowls. I especially enjoyed Cristl's breakdown of the percentages of Hall of Fame or Pro Bowl players who are taken at different spots in the draft, and how that relates to the NFL's point value system: "It's possible the No. 1 pick could be a bust and that some day another sixth-round pick will be a Hall of Famer. But the fact is that you have a 33% chance of landing a Pro Bowl player at No. 16 and a less than 1% chance of drafting a Hall of Famer. With the No. 1 pick, you have about a 60% chance of drafting a Pro Bowl player and upwards of a 20% chance of drafting a Hall of Famer. So, again, there's nothing wrong with pipedreams. But there's a reason in the NFL point value system why the first pick is worth 3,000 points; the 16th pick, 1,000 points; and the 32nd, or last pick of the first round, 590 points. By the way, the 199th pick, where Brady was drafted, is worth 11.8 points. Then again, when Brady goes in the Hall of Fame, he may be the first sixth round pick to make it. So far, there haven'tbeen any." [/QUOTE]
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FAVRE MIGHT BE BACK, BUT HAVEL APPARENTLY WON'T BE
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