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Message: <blockquote data-quote="Dantés" data-source="post: 876703" data-attributes="member: 12283">I went on record with a prediction of 10-6 in the thread I did on regression in the NFCN.I kind of deliberated between 10 and 11.I could envision GB being a better team with a lesser record in 2020. It's unlikely that they will be able to match an 86% win rate in one score games this season, and injuries could bite them harder than they did this last season.From 2014 to 2019, 10 teams went 13-3 or better and only two of them managed to win that many games in the next season. It's just a really hard thing to do.The average regression among those 10 teams was 3.8 games, which means that the average follow-up record rounds to 9-7.Carolina: 15-1 -> 6-10Arizona: 13-3 -> 7-8-1Dallas: 13-3 -> 9-7New England: 14-2 -> 13-3New England: 13-3 -> 11-5Pittsburgh: 13-3 -> 9-7Philadelphia: 13-3 -> 9-7Minnesota: 13-3 -> 8-7-1New Orleans: 13-3 -> 13-3Los Angeles: 13-3 -> 9-7Interestingly, my prediction of 13-3 to 10-6 hasn't happened in 5 years.</blockquote>

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