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Message: <blockquote data-quote="Sunshinepacker" data-source="post: 879816" data-attributes="member: 9033">Graham is a veteran TE. While it's possible that Sternberger gets 60 targets it's pretty rare for a second year TE to get that many targets; it's happened 46 times over the past 11 seasons (link to this at bottom). I think the history of TEs taking 3-4 years to get used to the NFL is the biggest hurdle for Sternberger but I also think many fans are glossing over the fact that MLF wants to run the ball more. Last year Rodgers threw 569 passes which will most likely be less if MLF gets his way. So, let's say Rodgers throws the ball 500 times next year (which would have been 16th most last season):<ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Adams should get at least 10 targets a game so that's 160 targets right there</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Jones had 68 targets last year so hopefully we can pencil him in for AT LEAST 70 targets this year (I would hope for substantially more)</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Lazard averaged about 5 targets a game last season, we can expect that to go up, so let's assume 7 targets a game for 112 total targets</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">MVS will probably be about 50 targets (less than last year)</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Allison and ESB combined should be at least 50 targets</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Jamaal Williams had 45 targets last year but let's only give him 30 this year</li> </ul>That's a total of 472 targets. So Kumerow, Lewis, Tonyan, Dillon, Deguara and Sternberger have a total of 28 targets to share amongst themselves if the Packers throw the ball ~4 fewer times a game. Now, injuries will happen which will shift some of these numbers but as MLF tries to move away from modern football offenses and run the ball more, there are going to be fewer targets available overall. Getting to 60 targets is going to be tough for Sternberger.<a href="https://www.pro-football-reference.com/play-index/psl_finder.cgi?request=1&match=single&year_min=2009&year_max=2019&season_start=1&season_end=2&pos%5B%5D=te&draft_year_min=1936&draft_year_max=2020&draft_pick_in_round=pick_overall&conference=any&draft_pos%5B%5D=qb&draft_pos%5B%5D=rb&draft_pos%5B%5D=wr&draft_pos%5B%5D=te&draft_pos%5B%5D=e&draft_pos%5B%5D=t&draft_pos%5B%5D=g&draft_pos%5B%5D=c&draft_pos%5B%5D=ol&draft_pos%5B%5D=dt&draft_pos%5B%5D=de&draft_pos%5B%5D=dl&draft_pos%5B%5D=ilb&draft_pos%5B%5D=olb&draft_pos%5B%5D=lb&draft_pos%5B%5D=cb&draft_pos%5B%5D=s&draft_pos%5B%5D=db&draft_pos%5B%5D=k&draft_pos%5B%5D=p&c1stat=targets&c1comp=gt&c1val=60&c5val=1.0&order_by=targets" target="_blank">https://www.pro-football-reference.com/play-index/psl_finder.cgi?request=1&match=single&year_min=2009&year_max=2019&season_start=1&season_end=2&pos[]=te&draft_year_min=1936&draft_year_max=2020&draft_pick_in_round=pick_overall&conference=any&draft_pos[]=qb&draft_pos[]=rb&draft_pos[]=wr&draft_pos[]=te&draft_pos[]=e&draft_pos[]=t&draft_pos[]=g&draft_pos[]=c&draft_pos[]=ol&draft_pos[]=dt&draft_pos[]=de&draft_pos[]=dl&draft_pos[]=ilb&draft_pos[]=olb&draft_pos[]=lb&draft_pos[]=cb&draft_pos[]=s&draft_pos[]=db&draft_pos[]=k&draft_pos[]=p&c1stat=targets&c1comp=gt&c1val=60&c5val=1.0&order_by=targets</a></blockquote>

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