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Crosby and his issues
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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 478426"><p>I think yes and no, depending on how you view the conventional wisdom.</p><p> </p><p>Nearly every team in most game situations will try a FG when it's 4th. and 2 with a 50 yard field goal distance. Personally, I think this is usually dumb. It's a case where there should be compelling circumstances and very favorable field conditions leading you to kick; the default should be go for it, not the other way around. If having an untrustworthy kicker leads to more go-for-its on short yardage in lieu of a 45 yd.+ FG, then it should work out in more cases than not.</p><p> </p><p>The problem comes in when you're 4th. and long, or the clock is ticking down, or you're in OT. You'd like to think you have a 60-70% chance on a 45 yd. FG. MM's in a tough spot with that one. He went for a 4th. and 6 instead of a 43 yd. FG in between Crosby's 2 misses. It worked, but the odds are poor in that case and you should be able to kick with confidence.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 478426"] I think yes and no, depending on how you view the conventional wisdom. Nearly every team in most game situations will try a FG when it's 4th. and 2 with a 50 yard field goal distance. Personally, I think this is usually dumb. It's a case where there should be compelling circumstances and very favorable field conditions leading you to kick; the default should be go for it, not the other way around. If having an untrustworthy kicker leads to more go-for-its on short yardage in lieu of a 45 yd.+ FG, then it should work out in more cases than not. The problem comes in when you're 4th. and long, or the clock is ticking down, or you're in OT. You'd like to think you have a 60-70% chance on a 45 yd. FG. MM's in a tough spot with that one. He went for a 4th. and 6 instead of a 43 yd. FG in between Crosby's 2 misses. It worked, but the odds are poor in that case and you should be able to kick with confidence. [/QUOTE]
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