Reply to thread

Message: <blockquote data-quote="Magooch" data-source="post: 1057277" data-attributes="member: 17987">Also piggyback off this to say that he was:10th in EPA+CPOE composite7th in adjusted EPA/play9th in non-adjusted EPA/playBut, taking the good with the bad...25th in *actual* completion percentage29th in *expected* completion percentage20th in completion percentage over expectedHowever, 4th in air yards/average depth of target. I would posit that - just like with "deep threat" WRs, Love's completion percentage here is being brought down by his propensity to go for home-run plays, too. And when you look at average depth of target vs CPOE, he is in decent company. You have a few guys who are both close in ADOT and CPOE, but they either were having MVP-level seasons (Lamar, Daniels, for instance) or probably aided by some great pass-catchers (Darnold, Hurts, etc). For one interesting example, we see that Love's ADOT (9.0) and CPOE (+0.6%) is very close to another MVP front-runner in Josh Allen (8.4 / +0.8). Again I guess all that to say that while I'll admit the "eye test" doesn't fully agree with this at times, IMO perhaps we were a bit too cautious with Love and IMO he could also GREATLY benefit from having a true go-to #1 guy at WR. But that's just quick back of the napkin speculative math from me.</blockquote>

Total: 412 (members: 3, guests: 409)