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Best choice for AR back up
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<blockquote data-quote="sschind" data-source="post: 829739" data-attributes="member: 10247"><p>If the Packers are looking at drafting a QB early the only thing that makes sense is a first rounder. The 5th year option means that if Rodgers plays through 2022 the packers can get out of his contract with some dead cap but still a significant savings and still have the understudy for his 5th year. They could get out of Rodgers deal after 2020 but it would mean a significant cap hit.</p><p></p><p>Still I would expect to see AR as our starting QB for at least the next 4 years so if we draft a QB in the second he would likely be a FA as Captain says. Drafting a QB late would most likely mean he needs time to develop and wouldn't likely supplant Kizer or Boyle for at least a year maybe even 2 then you are looking at either a capable backup for two years before losing him to FA, Trading him to recoup some draft capital and then drafting ARs true successor or at that point deciding to move on from AR. </p><p></p><p>I doubt Lock last until 30 with the way teams are going after QBs. They were also trying to bring in Daniel Jones but from what have been reading his stock is shooting up so he may not be there at 30 either. In fact some mocks have him going before Lock.</p><p></p><p>I just don't know if I want to use an early pick on a backup QB who may never play a meaningful down for us. We are in a very good position to load this team up with some very good players at multiple positions of need. Maybe even better if we can swing a trade down from 12 to the mid teens. I get that you don't pass on true talent but there are plenty of skeptics who question whether ANY of the QBs in this years draft are that talent. Obviously all it takes is for Gute to believe it and while I highly doubt they pull the trigger at #12 I think Gute is maybe planning his Ted Thompson option if a guy he likes (Lock or Jones) falls as far as #30. </p><p></p><p>There is always the injury factor and while I don't think you draft scared you have to consider it. I would think a 1st round rookie would likely be the #2 QB especially as the season wore on. They may be listed as #3 but in week 8 if Rodgers went down I think the rook would get the nod. I don't know if Boyle or Kizer will ever develop into anything I would have confidence in if pressed into long term action but a first round rookie you would certainly hope would be that guy for at least the next 3 or 4 years after his rookie season. </p><p></p><p>on a scale of 1-5 1 being hate the move 5 being love the move I'd have to say I'd be at 2</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="sschind, post: 829739, member: 10247"] If the Packers are looking at drafting a QB early the only thing that makes sense is a first rounder. The 5th year option means that if Rodgers plays through 2022 the packers can get out of his contract with some dead cap but still a significant savings and still have the understudy for his 5th year. They could get out of Rodgers deal after 2020 but it would mean a significant cap hit. Still I would expect to see AR as our starting QB for at least the next 4 years so if we draft a QB in the second he would likely be a FA as Captain says. Drafting a QB late would most likely mean he needs time to develop and wouldn't likely supplant Kizer or Boyle for at least a year maybe even 2 then you are looking at either a capable backup for two years before losing him to FA, Trading him to recoup some draft capital and then drafting ARs true successor or at that point deciding to move on from AR. I doubt Lock last until 30 with the way teams are going after QBs. They were also trying to bring in Daniel Jones but from what have been reading his stock is shooting up so he may not be there at 30 either. In fact some mocks have him going before Lock. I just don't know if I want to use an early pick on a backup QB who may never play a meaningful down for us. We are in a very good position to load this team up with some very good players at multiple positions of need. Maybe even better if we can swing a trade down from 12 to the mid teens. I get that you don't pass on true talent but there are plenty of skeptics who question whether ANY of the QBs in this years draft are that talent. Obviously all it takes is for Gute to believe it and while I highly doubt they pull the trigger at #12 I think Gute is maybe planning his Ted Thompson option if a guy he likes (Lock or Jones) falls as far as #30. There is always the injury factor and while I don't think you draft scared you have to consider it. I would think a 1st round rookie would likely be the #2 QB especially as the season wore on. They may be listed as #3 but in week 8 if Rodgers went down I think the rook would get the nod. I don't know if Boyle or Kizer will ever develop into anything I would have confidence in if pressed into long term action but a first round rookie you would certainly hope would be that guy for at least the next 3 or 4 years after his rookie season. on a scale of 1-5 1 being hate the move 5 being love the move I'd have to say I'd be at 2 [/QUOTE]
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