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Anders Carlson
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<blockquote data-quote="mradtke66" data-source="post: 1038054" data-attributes="member: 4199"><p>I would presume it would. Your 2023 numbers are higher, but iirc, only on the order of 2%. That could be gradual improvement, that could be an abnormal year. We'd have to look at multiple years and look for a trend.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p>It seems unlikely, but also possible. Anders already breaks this pattern by making 100% of his field goals in the 30-39 range, but only making 87.2</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p>Slight tangent: The NFL obviously wanted more missed XPAs or rather, make them less automatic. Approaching 100% is pretty boring. They must have had a desired pass/fail rate when they moved it to where they did. Were they hoping for 95%? 90%? Were it me, I'd back it up until it's only slightly safer than the 2PT. If 2PTs are 45% successful, I'd want XPAs to be 91% successful. The 10 year dataset says 33-35 yards, with a range of 94 and 90 percent. Seems they had roughly the same idea.</p><p></p><p>In 2023, XPAs were almost 96% successful. One line of questions, one thought:</p><p></p><p>Q: what is different about XPAs and regular kicks? Are they practiced differently? Should something change with how Anders is practicing one vs. the other?</p><p></p><p>Thought: We might want to back up the XPA line a couple yards to get that percentage down.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="mradtke66, post: 1038054, member: 4199"] I would presume it would. Your 2023 numbers are higher, but iirc, only on the order of 2%. That could be gradual improvement, that could be an abnormal year. We'd have to look at multiple years and look for a trend. It seems unlikely, but also possible. Anders already breaks this pattern by making 100% of his field goals in the 30-39 range, but only making 87.2 Slight tangent: The NFL obviously wanted more missed XPAs or rather, make them less automatic. Approaching 100% is pretty boring. They must have had a desired pass/fail rate when they moved it to where they did. Were they hoping for 95%? 90%? Were it me, I'd back it up until it's only slightly safer than the 2PT. If 2PTs are 45% successful, I'd want XPAs to be 91% successful. The 10 year dataset says 33-35 yards, with a range of 94 and 90 percent. Seems they had roughly the same idea. In 2023, XPAs were almost 96% successful. One line of questions, one thought: Q: what is different about XPAs and regular kicks? Are they practiced differently? Should something change with how Anders is practicing one vs. the other? Thought: We might want to back up the XPA line a couple yards to get that percentage down. [/QUOTE]
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