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<blockquote data-quote="Dantés" data-source="post: 994568" data-attributes="member: 12283"><p>Yes, Lamb is very good. That's what I was meaning when I said that the guys who have played for Lincoln Riley at Oklahoma have been successful. Otherwise, it's been bleak. </p><p></p><p>On Mingo, I'll say this:</p><p></p><p>1) I don't know where he will go. If I've learned anything following the draft closely for 15 years, it's that I shouldn't be dogmatic about where guys ought to be projected.</p><p></p><p>2) I think that PFF's mock simulator is having a majorly outsized impact on where the public thinks players will go. Their tool is super fun, but so many people are using it that I think it's having too strong an influence.</p><p></p><p>3) "Elite athlete" is way overused in draft season. But Mingo really is one. His RAS is 9.97, which means that .03% of WR's have tested better as far back as the data goes. He's productive-- he had 15/290/3 in three games before getting hurt in 2021. Last year he had 51/861/5 with really bad QB play. He's versatile: 62% out wide, 38% in the slot. He has ball skills to threaten down the field and he has the toughness to secure contested catches. He's a YAC threat AND a solid route runner. And he is a committed run blocker. </p><p></p><p>When I put all that together, that's a top 40 player. I have no idea why he's being projected so late. My guess is that the media types will get wind that they're way too low on him compared to NFL teams, will label him a "riser," and move him way up. But mocking him to GB on day 3 feels very unrealistic.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Dantés, post: 994568, member: 12283"] Yes, Lamb is very good. That's what I was meaning when I said that the guys who have played for Lincoln Riley at Oklahoma have been successful. Otherwise, it's been bleak. On Mingo, I'll say this: 1) I don't know where he will go. If I've learned anything following the draft closely for 15 years, it's that I shouldn't be dogmatic about where guys ought to be projected. 2) I think that PFF's mock simulator is having a majorly outsized impact on where the public thinks players will go. Their tool is super fun, but so many people are using it that I think it's having too strong an influence. 3) "Elite athlete" is way overused in draft season. But Mingo really is one. His RAS is 9.97, which means that .03% of WR's have tested better as far back as the data goes. He's productive-- he had 15/290/3 in three games before getting hurt in 2021. Last year he had 51/861/5 with really bad QB play. He's versatile: 62% out wide, 38% in the slot. He has ball skills to threaten down the field and he has the toughness to secure contested catches. He's a YAC threat AND a solid route runner. And he is a committed run blocker. When I put all that together, that's a top 40 player. I have no idea why he's being projected so late. My guess is that the media types will get wind that they're way too low on him compared to NFL teams, will label him a "riser," and move him way up. But mocking him to GB on day 3 feels very unrealistic. [/QUOTE]
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