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Message: <blockquote data-quote="tynimiller" data-source="post: 1002068" data-attributes="member: 6578">You still aren't grasping what I'm saying, given his production and metrics - IF you want AJ Dillon in Green Bay you're paying that man money, not chump change back up level money but above average or median level pay unless he truly means what he says in that he wants to be a Packer and door county resident. David Montgomery at the Bears is the epitome of comp for Dillon. He is vastly more efficient than David even who was a 3 year $18M guy contract wise with $8M guaranteed. Below compares them and bold lines are the guy that wins that column. David is arguably near or around the top of what Dillon could use and escalate a year for his contract.<table style='width: 100%'><tr><td></td><td>Attempts</td><td>RushYds</td><td>Y/A</td><td>RushTDs</td><td>TDs/A</td><td>Targets</td><td>Receptions</td><td>Ctch%</td><td>RecYds</td><td>Yds/Rec</td><td>RecTDs</td><td>TDs/Rec</td><td>Yards/Touch</td></tr><tr><td>AJ Dillon</td><td>419</td><td>1815</td><td>4.33</td><td>14</td><td>0.033</td><td>82</td><td>64</td><td>78.0%</td><td>540</td><td>8.44</td><td>2</td><td>0.031 </td><td>4.9</td></tr><tr><td>David Montgomery</td><td>915</td><td>3609</td><td>3.94</td><td>26</td><td>0.028</td><td>194</td><td>155</td><td>79.9%</td><td>1240</td><td>8.00</td><td>4</td><td>0.026 </td><td>4.5</td></tr></table>Gus Edwards is another comp - Dillon has 2,355 total yards over three years while Gus over four years has 2779 yards. So yards per year Dillon has him beat by nearly 200 yards a year of production. Efficiency though Gus is rushing at a higher percentage, but his receiving is such a tiny sample size I bet most would struggle to yield to it as statistically enough of a sample size but here it as well compared, again bolded are the guy that wins that column. Gus was a 2 year / $9M guy and the floor IMO of what GB would be able to reasonably offer Dillon<table style='width: 100%'><tr><td></td><td>Attempts</td><td>RushYds</td><td>Y/A</td><td>RushTDs</td><td>TDs/A</td><td>Targets</td><td>Receptions</td><td>Ctch%</td><td>RecYds</td><td>Yds/Rec</td><td>RecTDs</td><td>TDs/Rec</td><td>Yards/Touch</td></tr><tr><td>AJ Dillon</td><td>419</td><td>1815</td><td>4.33</td><td>14</td><td>0.033</td><td>82</td><td>64</td><td>78.0%</td><td>540</td><td>8.44</td><td>2</td><td>0.031</td><td>4.9</td></tr><tr><td>Gus Edwards</td><td>501</td><td>2585</td><td>5.16</td><td>13</td><td>0.026</td><td>24</td><td>18</td><td>75.0%</td><td>194</td><td>10.78</td><td>0</td><td>0.000</td><td>5.4</td></tr></table>Miles Sanders is like the best of both the above and to me is the absolute ceiling and the contract I bet Dillon's agent presents at 4 years / $25.4MThem compared below:<table style='width: 100%'><tr><td></td><td>Attempts</td><td>RushYds</td><td>Y/A</td><td>RushTDs</td><td>TDs/A</td><td>Targets</td><td>Receptions</td><td>Ctch%</td><td>RecYds</td><td>Yds/Rec</td><td>RecTDs</td><td>TDs/Rec</td><td>Yards/Touch</td></tr><tr><td>AJ Dillon</td><td>419</td><td>1815</td><td>4.33</td><td>14</td><td>0.033</td><td>82</td><td>64</td><td>78.0%</td><td>540</td><td>8.44</td><td>2</td><td>0.031</td><td>4.9</td></tr><tr><td>Miles Sanders</td><td>739</td><td>3708</td><td>5.02</td><td>20</td><td>0.027</td><td>175</td><td>124</td><td>70.9%</td><td>942</td><td>7.60</td><td>3</td><td>0.024</td><td>5.4</td></tr></table></blockquote>

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