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<blockquote data-quote="Favre&gt;Rodgers259" data-source="post: 879833" data-attributes="member: 10866"><p>[USER=9033]@Sunshinepacker[/USER] has put my point in words that you might understand better. But I'll explain further:</p><p></p><p>The default amount of draft picks each team gets is 7; 1 pick in each of the 7 rounds based on their standings from the previous year.</p><p></p><p>Since 2005, the Packers have averaged 6.5 picks on Day 3 of the Draft alone; keeping it simple and assuming the Packers will have 3 more picks from the first 3 rounds, that's 9.5 picks a year.</p><p></p><p>However, we're just going to focus on Day 3 only, and since 2005, the Packers have had 104 selections. For the purposes of making a legitimate argument we are going to go from the 2017 Draft Class and back, so that's 86 selections, or 6.6 picks per year.</p><p></p><p>Here's a breakdown of the percentage of Day 3 players who actually make it to their contract year from 2005-2017:</p><p></p><p>2017 - 28.57%</p><p><strong>2016 - 75%</strong></p><p>2015 - 0%</p><p>2014 - 20%</p><p>2013 - 22.22%</p><p>2012 - 20%</p><p>2011 - 28.57%</p><p><strong>2010 - 75%</strong></p><p><strong>2009 - 33.33%</strong></p><p><strong>2008 - 40%</strong></p><p><strong>2007 - 42.86%</strong></p><p>2006 - 28.57%</p><p>2005 - 25%</p><p></p><p></p><p>Historically it's actually not as bad as I thought; 33.78%, or 29 out of 86 selections. I highlighted 2007 - 2010 because those percentages right there are how you build a Super Bowl caliber roster, and we won it all in 2010.</p><p></p><p>As an "Armchair GM", I believe we should be hitting on 33% of all our Day 3 picks; and since 2010, we've only achieved that once; back in 2016(also highlighted).</p><p></p><p>But I'd also like to put an asterisk on the term "hit" as the only criteria being that the player made it to his contract year. There were a handful of players that while they were on the team for 4 years, their contributions were very little at best. A couple players were actually traded in their contract year. Remember that Ted Thompson loved to hold on to his coveted draft selections a little longer than probably most would prefer. But without breaking down every single selection of the last 13 years, let's just say that using my own "Armchair GM" analysis, the historical percentage drops to 25.58%.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Favre>Rodgers259, post: 879833, member: 10866"] [USER=9033]@Sunshinepacker[/USER] has put my point in words that you might understand better. But I'll explain further: The default amount of draft picks each team gets is 7; 1 pick in each of the 7 rounds based on their standings from the previous year. Since 2005, the Packers have averaged 6.5 picks on Day 3 of the Draft alone; keeping it simple and assuming the Packers will have 3 more picks from the first 3 rounds, that's 9.5 picks a year. However, we're just going to focus on Day 3 only, and since 2005, the Packers have had 104 selections. For the purposes of making a legitimate argument we are going to go from the 2017 Draft Class and back, so that's 86 selections, or 6.6 picks per year. Here's a breakdown of the percentage of Day 3 players who actually make it to their contract year from 2005-2017: 2017 - 28.57% [B]2016 - 75%[/B] 2015 - 0% 2014 - 20% 2013 - 22.22% 2012 - 20% 2011 - 28.57% [B]2010 - 75% 2009 - 33.33% 2008 - 40% 2007 - 42.86%[/B] 2006 - 28.57% 2005 - 25% Historically it's actually not as bad as I thought; 33.78%, or 29 out of 86 selections. I highlighted 2007 - 2010 because those percentages right there are how you build a Super Bowl caliber roster, and we won it all in 2010. As an "Armchair GM", I believe we should be hitting on 33% of all our Day 3 picks; and since 2010, we've only achieved that once; back in 2016(also highlighted). But I'd also like to put an asterisk on the term "hit" as the only criteria being that the player made it to his contract year. There were a handful of players that while they were on the team for 4 years, their contributions were very little at best. A couple players were actually traded in their contract year. Remember that Ted Thompson loved to hold on to his coveted draft selections a little longer than probably most would prefer. But without breaking down every single selection of the last 13 years, let's just say that using my own "Armchair GM" analysis, the historical percentage drops to 25.58%. [/QUOTE]
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