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2020 Salary Cap Situation
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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 862949"><p>First off, I seem to be alone in including slot corner on the needs list. The SF game notwithstanding, this is a nickel defense league and that's not changing. For example, upgrading from Lancaster is a common theme, an opinion I share, but not among my higher prioritites.</p><p></p><p>To illustrate, Lancaster had a 36% snap count in 2019. Tramon Williams, a free agent, had a 74% snap count. I see no reason to prioritize DL over slot corner. Even if that guy is a better pass rusher than Lancaster capable of a 50% snap count giving Clark a few more rest snaps, there's still a meaningful usage gap. Maybe this discrepancy in need evaluation is a function of having a bunch of young corners and safeties on the roster or brought back inexpensively. "Somebody" will emerge, with a shrug? That's not a given.</p><p></p><p>That out of the way, as noted in post #1, my working number is <strong>$38 mil in available cap space </strong>assuming Graham's release. That's a kind of averaging out of some unreliable numbers and some Kentucky windage. For example, <strong>overthecap.com would put the number at $35.7 mil and spotrac.com a $37.4 mil estimate </strong>assuming Graham's release while spotrac has a $3.8 mil lower cap cost for the 43 guys currently under contract. </p><p></p><p>You might have noticed I'm critical of predictions where a high number of variables and unknowns are not amenable to predictions. This is one of those situations. Frankly, Gutekunst couldn't answer many questions on the table at this juncture where outsiders are willing to make bold predictions.</p><p></p><p>Here's the thing. The evident priority is coming to terms with Clark and the outcome of the on-going Bulaga negotiations. Everthing pivots off those two contracts, not just the average yearly amount. How much but for how long and how far the cap hit can be pushed out past 2021 is a factor. Bulaga is problematic on that score because he's not the kind of guy you want to sign to a 4 year deal. We'll have more clarity once those two dominos fall, or not. That could take awhile.</p><p></p><p>Other unknows not given a any attention is whether Gutekunst has in the back of his mind extending one or more of the 2021 free agents before 2020 is up, notably Bakhtiari or Jones.</p><p></p><p>Another unknown is how much gets dribbed and drabbed away bringing back lower cost vets: Crosby, Lewis, T. Williams. Chip away a little with a couple of the restricted FAs, say Boyle and Greene. </p><p></p><p>At this point I have only a sense of what might be done until we see where they go with Clark and Bulaga. Gutekunst probably isn't far off that mark at this point. My sense is that it will be something like two larger ticket signings (including Bulaga) or one large and two smaller.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 862949"] First off, I seem to be alone in including slot corner on the needs list. The SF game notwithstanding, this is a nickel defense league and that's not changing. For example, upgrading from Lancaster is a common theme, an opinion I share, but not among my higher prioritites. To illustrate, Lancaster had a 36% snap count in 2019. Tramon Williams, a free agent, had a 74% snap count. I see no reason to prioritize DL over slot corner. Even if that guy is a better pass rusher than Lancaster capable of a 50% snap count giving Clark a few more rest snaps, there's still a meaningful usage gap. Maybe this discrepancy in need evaluation is a function of having a bunch of young corners and safeties on the roster or brought back inexpensively. "Somebody" will emerge, with a shrug? That's not a given. That out of the way, as noted in post #1, my working number is [B]$38 mil in available cap space [/B]assuming Graham's release. That's a kind of averaging out of some unreliable numbers and some Kentucky windage. For example, [B]overthecap.com would put the number at $35.7 mil and spotrac.com a $37.4 mil estimate [/B]assuming Graham's release while spotrac has a $3.8 mil lower cap cost for the 43 guys currently under contract. You might have noticed I'm critical of predictions where a high number of variables and unknowns are not amenable to predictions. This is one of those situations. Frankly, Gutekunst couldn't answer many questions on the table at this juncture where outsiders are willing to make bold predictions. Here's the thing. The evident priority is coming to terms with Clark and the outcome of the on-going Bulaga negotiations. Everthing pivots off those two contracts, not just the average yearly amount. How much but for how long and how far the cap hit can be pushed out past 2021 is a factor. Bulaga is problematic on that score because he's not the kind of guy you want to sign to a 4 year deal. We'll have more clarity once those two dominos fall, or not. That could take awhile. Other unknows not given a any attention is whether Gutekunst has in the back of his mind extending one or more of the 2021 free agents before 2020 is up, notably Bakhtiari or Jones. Another unknown is how much gets dribbed and drabbed away bringing back lower cost vets: Crosby, Lewis, T. Williams. Chip away a little with a couple of the restricted FAs, say Boyle and Greene. At this point I have only a sense of what might be done until we see where they go with Clark and Bulaga. Gutekunst probably isn't far off that mark at this point. My sense is that it will be something like two larger ticket signings (including Bulaga) or one large and two smaller. [/QUOTE]
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