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2020 Dantés Draft Thread
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<blockquote data-quote="Dantés" data-source="post: 871022" data-attributes="member: 12283"><p>So my favorite scenario this year is to move down into the 30's with a team trying to get a QB in the first round, and thus secure a 5th year option.</p><p></p><p>IND (34), LAC (37), CAR (38), MIA (39), and JAX (42) could all be in that position.</p><p></p><p>The best comparison to that sort of deal is the 2018 trade up in which the Ravens took Lamar Jackson.</p><p></p><p>The Eagles gave up #32 and #132 (interestingly, this is virtually equivalent value on the chart to #30) for #52, #125, and a 2019 2nd. As you always value next year picks one round later, I am valuing that 2019 2nd as a 2018 3rd, and placing it right in the middle. </p><p></p><p>This would mean that, per the chart, the Ravens paid 627 "points" of value to get from #52 to the equivalent of #30, or 28.5 points per slot.</p><p></p><p>If that's the rate when a QB is involved, then that would put the price at:</p><p></p><p>114 for IND at #34: Pick #96/97</p><p>200 for LAC at #37: Pick #76/77</p><p>229 for CAR at #38: Pick #72/73</p><p>257 for MIA at #39: Pick #66/67</p><p>342 for JAX at #42: Pick #56</p><p></p><p>I don't know if that rate as I've figure it would actually hold up, but it is a pretty clear comp. If it did, that's quite a bit higher compensation than I was figuring on.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Dantés, post: 871022, member: 12283"] So my favorite scenario this year is to move down into the 30's with a team trying to get a QB in the first round, and thus secure a 5th year option. IND (34), LAC (37), CAR (38), MIA (39), and JAX (42) could all be in that position. The best comparison to that sort of deal is the 2018 trade up in which the Ravens took Lamar Jackson. The Eagles gave up #32 and #132 (interestingly, this is virtually equivalent value on the chart to #30) for #52, #125, and a 2019 2nd. As you always value next year picks one round later, I am valuing that 2019 2nd as a 2018 3rd, and placing it right in the middle. This would mean that, per the chart, the Ravens paid 627 "points" of value to get from #52 to the equivalent of #30, or 28.5 points per slot. If that's the rate when a QB is involved, then that would put the price at: 114 for IND at #34: Pick #96/97 200 for LAC at #37: Pick #76/77 229 for CAR at #38: Pick #72/73 257 for MIA at #39: Pick #66/67 342 for JAX at #42: Pick #56 I don't know if that rate as I've figure it would actually hold up, but it is a pretty clear comp. If it did, that's quite a bit higher compensation than I was figuring on. [/QUOTE]
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