I never said it was 6 weeks of data. You said he was the 10th best FG kicker in the NFL last season in your post #138. I only pointed out he was the 10th best FG kicker thru week 6. Who knows where he ranked for the season. Again, I ask, what % based on those 23 years of data makes a kick an...
1. If I read this correctly those stats are only thru week 6 last season.
2. What is, and who decides what the threshold is for an expected make? Is it over 50%, 65%, 75%, 90%?
IMO it is because all XPs are from the same spot. A 20 yd. FG counts as much as a 39 yd. FG when figuring the %. You could test this by comparing a kickers FG % from 30-40 yds. vs. his extra point %. I would be interested in the outcome, just not interested enough to do it myself.
It doesn't stop people from giving their opinion on an opinion message board either. IMO he will not be there at 61 because the Pack will have taken him at 58 if available. I also respect anyone's opinion who disagrees. In my case, pretending we know and actually believing we really know are 2...
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