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We dont have as much money as you think
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<blockquote data-quote="Luca" data-source="post: 548674" data-attributes="member: 9032"><p>El Guapo inspired me to make a graph with Pro football Reference's Career Approximate Value versus draft position for all Ted Thompson's draft picks. Career Approximate Value is based on starts, snaps, stats and pro bowls. Athough it has some flaws, it seems to like the most objective measure to test this his hypothesis. </p><p></p><p>[ATTACH=full]2772[/ATTACH]</p><p></p><p>It seems that his earlier picks are more successful than his late round picks. It also seems that Ted is slightly more successful in the first round than in the second round (as you would expect). The highest dot obviously is Aaron Rodgers.</p><p></p><p>I adjusted the graph also for years played in the league (so that rookies can be taken into account):</p><p></p><p>[ATTACH=full]2773[/ATTACH]</p><p></p><p>Again, first rounders are slightly more successful than second rounders (note 9 first rounders vs 13 second rounders). </p><p>The high scores are Rodgers, Matthews and Lacy. </p><p></p><p>So it seems that Ted is more succesfull in the first round than the second round, although by a small margin. So the general rule of thump that higher draft picks are on average more successful also holds for Ted.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Luca, post: 548674, member: 9032"] El Guapo inspired me to make a graph with Pro football Reference's Career Approximate Value versus draft position for all Ted Thompson's draft picks. Career Approximate Value is based on starts, snaps, stats and pro bowls. Athough it has some flaws, it seems to like the most objective measure to test this his hypothesis. [ATTACH=full]2772[/ATTACH] It seems that his earlier picks are more successful than his late round picks. It also seems that Ted is slightly more successful in the first round than in the second round (as you would expect). The highest dot obviously is Aaron Rodgers. I adjusted the graph also for years played in the league (so that rookies can be taken into account): [ATTACH=full]2773[/ATTACH] Again, first rounders are slightly more successful than second rounders (note 9 first rounders vs 13 second rounders). The high scores are Rodgers, Matthews and Lacy. So it seems that Ted is more succesfull in the first round than the second round, although by a small margin. So the general rule of thump that higher draft picks are on average more successful also holds for Ted. [/QUOTE]
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