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<blockquote data-quote="Hauschild" data-source="post: 268011" data-attributes="member: 1638"><p>"Pretty much automatically granted 3 points." </p><p></p><p>Well, that is correct. However, what you failed to mention is that the "3" points the home team is granted is already factored into the line as it moves up and down, which it does depending on which team the most money is being bet on - or in simpler terms, once the line is determined and published, the initial number already contains the home team's 3 points.</p><p></p><p>Here is a simple question that illustrates my point: Why did Arizona go from -3 to +1 to whatever the final line ended up being? Answer: Because most of the money being bet was being wagered on Green Bay early last week.</p><p></p><p>So, in the case of Dallas and Minnesota, the line yesterday was Minnesota -2.5 and right now it has increased to Minnesota -3 ... indicating that bettors are placing more money on Minnesota to win and cover. </p><p></p><p>The question now is whether the trend continues, or if -3 forces more bettors to take Dallas, which would then push the line back to -2.5, -2.0, etc.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Hauschild, post: 268011, member: 1638"] "Pretty much automatically granted 3 points." Well, that is correct. However, what you failed to mention is that the "3" points the home team is granted is already factored into the line as it moves up and down, which it does depending on which team the most money is being bet on - or in simpler terms, once the line is determined and published, the initial number already contains the home team's 3 points. Here is a simple question that illustrates my point: Why did Arizona go from -3 to +1 to whatever the final line ended up being? Answer: Because most of the money being bet was being wagered on Green Bay early last week. So, in the case of Dallas and Minnesota, the line yesterday was Minnesota -2.5 and right now it has increased to Minnesota -3 ... indicating that bettors are placing more money on Minnesota to win and cover. The question now is whether the trend continues, or if -3 forces more bettors to take Dallas, which would then push the line back to -2.5, -2.0, etc. [/QUOTE]
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