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Projecting the 53 Man Roster
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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 840317"><p>The younger cheaper talent doesn't need to play at the same or better level than a departing player. If you release an $8 mil player showing some decline, you perceive him to have $4.5 mil in value in a more limited role, and then replace him with an $875,000 player you project to yield $3 mil in value in that same limited role, then you are ahead of the game.</p><p></p><p>The point being, teams that get the most value over what they pay across the roster will win more games than the other guys. Needless to say, a huge part of that equation, and where you are most likely to find that excess value, is in players still on their cheap rookie deals.</p><p></p><p>They are not replacing Daniels with Adams because Adams is an equivalent or better player than Daniels is right now. He probably isn't. He might not even project to be that good one day. But he's a better value proposition, and that adds cap to the bucket to be used now or later. This may be a crude calculus, but it is absulutely relevant when not isolating on just one player or one position.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 840317"] The younger cheaper talent doesn't need to play at the same or better level than a departing player. If you release an $8 mil player showing some decline, you perceive him to have $4.5 mil in value in a more limited role, and then replace him with an $875,000 player you project to yield $3 mil in value in that same limited role, then you are ahead of the game. The point being, teams that get the most value over what they pay across the roster will win more games than the other guys. Needless to say, a huge part of that equation, and where you are most likely to find that excess value, is in players still on their cheap rookie deals. They are not replacing Daniels with Adams because Adams is an equivalent or better player than Daniels is right now. He probably isn't. He might not even project to be that good one day. But he's a better value proposition, and that adds cap to the bucket to be used now or later. This may be a crude calculus, but it is absulutely relevant when not isolating on just one player or one position. [/QUOTE]
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