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Packers vs Giants: Previews & Predictions
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<blockquote data-quote="TOPHAT" data-source="post: 202086" data-attributes="member: 781"><p><strong>NY PREVIEW/PREDICTION: HILARIOUS EXCEPT OUTCOME</strong></p><p></p><p><a href="http://www.nydailynews.com/sports/football/giants/2008/01/18/2008-01-18_inside_the_matchups__ice_bowl_ii.html?ref=rss" target="_blank">http://www.nydailynews.com/sports/football/giants/2008/01/18/2008-01-18_inside_the_matchups__ice_bowl_ii.html?ref=rss</a></p><p></p><p>[align=center]<strong>Inside the Matchups - Ice Bowl II</strong>[/align] </p><p></p><p><strong>WHEN THE GIANTS HAVE THE BALL</strong></p><p></p><p><strong>Quarterback vs. Defensive scheme:</strong></p><p></p><p>The transformation of Eli Manning into a mistake-free quarterback is the biggest story of the Giants' season. After tying for the league lead with 20 INTs, Manning has yet to throw a pick in the postseason and has thrown eight TDs vs. one INT the last three games. Growing in confidence and aided by a less-complex game plan, Manning has engineered drives with more poise and vision than he has ever shown in his entire career. Now he must do it in adverse weather and against a balanced, physical defense. Manning has averaged just 22.5 passes in the first two playoff games, and the Packers defense, which is pretty stout against the run, will try to put the game in his hands by forcing him into third and long - Packer opponents were successful only 33% of the time converting on third down. Many feel the injury to Jeremy Shockey has Manning looking to more receivers and distributing the ball better. As a result, it hasn't been as easy to read his eyes and jump patterns. He still has to be careful, though. The Packers have experience at the corners and aggressiveness inside. Manning must know when to hold 'em and when to fold 'em. EDGE: Giants [REALLY?]</p><p></p><p><strong>Running Backs vs. Linebackers</strong></p><p></p><p>There is no mystery to what wins cold-weather games and, with Brandon Jacobs, the Giants feel they can run with anyone. What Jacobs will face, however, is an instinctive linebacking corps and a pretty good schemer in defensive coordinator Bob Sanders, who is probably going to stack the line to take away the run. It will be interesting to see how often the Giants run Jacobs behind FB Madison Hedgecock since MLB Nick Barnett fills holes and sheds blocks effectively, although some feel he can be worn down. OLB A.J. Hawk has been inconsistent, but has the speed to stay with TEs and RBs on passing plays and will be key in countering Ahmad Bradshaw when he's in the game. Green Bay's LBs practically had another bye week against Seattle, which ran the ball just 16 times. They'll be a lot busier on Sunday. EDGE: EVEN</p><p></p><p><strong>Wide Receivers and Tight End vs. Secondary</strong></p><p></p><p>This is an in-your-face secondary, led by the best set of CBs - Charles Woodson and Al Harris - the Giants have faced. Woodson and Harris can each take on WRs by themselves, so the challenge will be to get at Green Bay's young and sometimes mistake-prone safeties. If they are looking for the pigeon they found in Dallas' Jacques Reeves last week, they may have one in nickel back Tramon Williams, who has recently inherited the position and doesn't always react well to the ball. Rookie WR Steve Smith has been playing a bigger role out of the slot each week and will be key in attacking Williams. The Giants have to be concerned that a season of playing on a bad ankle may have finally caught up to Plaxico Burress. While Burress had eight catches for 144 yards and three TDs against the Packers in Week 2, he was unable to shake free last week, leaving Amani Toomer as the go-to guy downfield. SS Atari Bigby is a big hitter who seems to be maturing. FS Nick Collins is more inconsistent and not a good tackler. Earlier in the season, they had problems with TEs - and big Kevin Boss is making timely contributions each week. EDGE: Packers</p><p></p><p><strong>Offensive Line vs. Defensive Line</strong></p><p></p><p>Except for sack specialist Aaron Kampman, the Packers D-line is made up of unsung guys who, like the Giants' O-line, are greater than the sum of its parts. The Packers use a seven-man rotation so they can't be worn down and they get contributions from all of them. These are not penetrators against the run but obstacles. DT Ryan Pickett is a typical no-name who absorbs double teams in the Pack's two-gapping system and efficiently funnels the run to the linebackers. The Giants' cohesive line seems to get better as the game goes on. It is efficient, athletic and communicates well, especially with C Shaun O'Hara flanked by agile guards Chris Snee and Rich Seubert. Their task will be to get bodies on the Packer LBs and pick up those run blitzes Green Bay sends. The Packers can put three outstanding pass rushers up front on third down by moving Cullen Jenkins inside and bringing Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila into the game. Kampman's matchup against Kareem McKenzie, the worse pass protector of the Giants' two tackles, is worrisome. EDGE: EVEN [REALLY?]</p><p></p><p><strong>WHEN THE PACKERS HAVE THE BALL</strong></p><p></p><p><strong>Quarterback vs. Defensive scheme:</strong></p><p></p><p>The Giants have what it takes to throw Brett Favre off his game, even if he did riddle them for 286 yards and three TDs in Week 2. The Cowboys made Favre look slow in their December showdown by collapsing the pocket. But beware: when he's dialed in, Favre is a blitz-killer and defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo must make a critical choice in getting maximum pressure on Favre or protecting a thin secondary that the savvy future Hall of Famer can easily exploit. Spagnuolo has been generally aggressive all year, supplanting his four-man rush with an unpredictable multitude of zone blitzes, but against a less-mobile Favre he might decide to drop seven into coverage much of the time. Against Tony Romo, Spagnuolo sent everyone - CBs from the outside, LBs and safeties up the middle, knowing the Giants were going to live or die with their pressure. Favre's revival this year has been built on the best decision-making of his career. In the first game against the Giants he started the second half with 14 straight completions, almost all of them short passes. Against Seattle in the divisional round, he continued to play within himself and read every blitz. Favre's record in cold weather is unparalleled and if either Bayou-bred quarterback is going to conquer the elements, it's him. EDGE: Packers</p><p></p><p><strong>Running Backs vs. Linebackers</strong></p><p></p><p>The Giants could rue the day they traded Ryan Grant. Beginning in Week 8 against Denver, Grant single-handedly transformed the Packers offense into a balanced attack that can both wear you down and light you up. Only LaDainian Tomlinson had more yards than Grant in the second half of the season. The Giants were getting battered by the Cowboys' Marion Barber last week before they began swarming to the ball and started cutting him down at the knees. By the second half, Barber, unaccustomed to playing full games, appeared to get tired and the game swung. They'll need a similar commitment against Grant, who picked up 75 of his 201 yards after the Seahawks made contact. The old Packers' sweep is alive and well with Grant. He has shown surprising breakaway speed, as well, and was the fastest player in the snow last week. Maybe it all sounds like he's the second coming of Paul Hornung and Jim Taylor combined, but his impact on this offense and Favre's ability to play-fake can't be overstated. MLB Antonio Pierce must stay disciplined and continue to make the stops that have made him the leader of this defense. EDGE: Packers</p><p></p><p><strong>Wide Receivers and Tight Ends vs. Secondary</strong></p><p></p><p>Even if the Giants can get all their battered DBs onto the tundra, the Packers will be a matchup headache. Like last week, the Giants must prevent the big play against a deeper, healthier WR corps coached by former Giants player/coach Jimmy Robinson. Green Bay can spread the field with wideouts, including what they call their "Big Five" set when Favre works out of an empty backfield in the shotgun. That will require R.W. McQuarters to have another game of his life, Sam Madison to gut one out, if he plays, and novice Geoffrey Pope to somehow avoid being attacked like he did vs. the Cowboys. The Packers' top three WRs, Greg Jennings, Donald Driver and rookie James Jones, are versatile. Jennings, who has taken over the No. 1 receiver role from Driver, is Favre's first big-play option and probably Corey Webster's difficult assignment after back-to-back weeks of Joey Galloway and Terrell Owens. Jennings, who can out-run Webster, abused Seattle's top corner, Marcus Trufant, when the Seahawks brought a safety up in the box to stop Grant. TE Donald Lee likes to get underneath zones in the middle, where he draws LB coverage, and is Favre's go-to guy while scrambling. The Giants have to be physical at the line as they disrupt all those West Coast slant patterns. EDGE: Packers</p><p></p><p><strong>Offensive Line vs. Defensive Line</strong></p><p></p><p>The Giants will win or lose the game here, as usual, although their edge over the Packers isn't as big as it was in Week 2 when offensive coordinator Joe Philbin called Green Bay's blocking "shoddy." While DEs Osi Umenyiora and Michael Strahan are scary matchups on the outside, the best place to exploit the Packers is inside. C Scott Wells is solid, but the play of LG Daryn Colledge (benched in the Dallas game) and RG Jason Spitz had been spotty, although the entire unit had its best performance while manhandling the Seahawks. That puts the spotlight on Justin Tuck, who comes up the middle in the Giants' three-DE formations. The Packers' tackles are good and helped limit sacks to one every 36 passing plays. They will try to pound the undersized Umenyiora and Strahan on running plays. LT Chad Clifton holds his own against speed rushers such as Umenyiora. RT Mark Tauscher, unorthodox but effective, held Strahan without a pressure in Week 2, but he'll face a more aggressive, less-rusty Strahan this time. EDGE: Giants [REALLY?]</p><p></p><p><strong>SPECIAL TEAMS</strong></p><p></p><p><strong>Kicking Games</strong></p><p></p><p>Look back at some cold-weather games and how many of them are affected by special teams: the Sean Landeta "whiff" at Soldier Field, Willie Wood muffing a punt in the Ice Bowl. Packer punter Jon Ryan had one of those at Soldier Field this year when two punts were blocked, another went for nine yards and another snap was fumbled. Normally, Ryan provides his coverage teams with plenty of hang time. Mason Crosby, the Packers' rookie kicker, was 31 of 39 on the year with 14 touchbacks on kickoffs. For the Giants, Jeff Feagles remains a premier directional punter. Placekicker Lawrence Tynes has been steady, but hasn't had to make any clutch field goals. EDGE: EVEN</p><p></p><p><strong>Return Games and Coverage</strong></p><p></p><p>The Giants have been getting good field position from their return men lately - see McQuarters' 25-yard return to set up the decisive 37-yard TD drive on Sunday - but these are by far the best coverage teams they will have faced in the playoffs. The Giants will probably prefer to kick to Tramon Williams than Koren Robinson (23.8-yard average). Giants gunner David Tyree leads a good tackling coverage team. EDGE: Packers</p><p></p><p><strong>COACHING</strong></p><p></p><p>Give the Giants' coaching staff credit for having their team better prepared and more disciplined than Dallas. Spagnuolo was impressive again as he overcame injuries in the secondary to stifle a high-powered offense in the second half, going with his gut to make all the right calls. Offensive coordinator Kevin Gilbride has to get props for putting Manning into a mistake-free mode the last three weeks, establishing a great pass/run mix. The Packers' meticulous Mike McCarthy might have been Coach of the Year if Bill Belichick wasn't 16-0. He calls the plays and seems to roll out a new game plan every week designed to exploit a team's weaknesses. Whatever Tom Coughlin is selling at the moment, his team is buying. He also has the vast edge in playoff experience over the 1-0 McCarthy. Oh-for-two with the Jaguars, this is Major Tom's third crack in a conference championship game. A charm or a trend? EDGE: Giants [REALLY?]</p><p></p><p><strong>OVERVIEW AND PREDICTION</strong></p><p></p><p>Having beaten America's Team, the Giants move on to America's Quarterback, one of the feel-good stories of the year. This isn't Favre's first rodeo and one thing has been consistent about his career: the Packers live and die with that brawny right arm. Maybe this is too simple, but when you boil it down, the Giants must get to Favre before he gets to their secondary. Or, to put it another way, destinies seem to be colliding - the Giants on their improbable run, Favre on his magical season. It's a coin flip. [REALLY?] This one comes up . . .<strong> PACKERS: 26-20 {HE GOT THE OUTCOME RIGHT!}</strong></p><p></p><p><strong>Note: This week, I had a hard time determining who was more laughable watching the "Big Blue" hype by the NY sports media elite or the sports media elite who work in NY...or both??</strong></p><p></p><p> :rotflmao: :rotflmao: :wink: :wink: :thumbsup: :thumbsup:</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="TOPHAT, post: 202086, member: 781"] [b]NY PREVIEW/PREDICTION: HILARIOUS EXCEPT OUTCOME[/b] [url]http://www.nydailynews.com/sports/football/giants/2008/01/18/2008-01-18_inside_the_matchups__ice_bowl_ii.html?ref=rss[/url] [align=center][b]Inside the Matchups - Ice Bowl II[/b][/align] [b]WHEN THE GIANTS HAVE THE BALL[/b] [b]Quarterback vs. Defensive scheme:[/b] The transformation of Eli Manning into a mistake-free quarterback is the biggest story of the Giants' season. After tying for the league lead with 20 INTs, Manning has yet to throw a pick in the postseason and has thrown eight TDs vs. one INT the last three games. Growing in confidence and aided by a less-complex game plan, Manning has engineered drives with more poise and vision than he has ever shown in his entire career. Now he must do it in adverse weather and against a balanced, physical defense. Manning has averaged just 22.5 passes in the first two playoff games, and the Packers defense, which is pretty stout against the run, will try to put the game in his hands by forcing him into third and long - Packer opponents were successful only 33% of the time converting on third down. Many feel the injury to Jeremy Shockey has Manning looking to more receivers and distributing the ball better. As a result, it hasn't been as easy to read his eyes and jump patterns. He still has to be careful, though. The Packers have experience at the corners and aggressiveness inside. Manning must know when to hold 'em and when to fold 'em. EDGE: Giants [REALLY?] [b]Running Backs vs. Linebackers[/b] There is no mystery to what wins cold-weather games and, with Brandon Jacobs, the Giants feel they can run with anyone. What Jacobs will face, however, is an instinctive linebacking corps and a pretty good schemer in defensive coordinator Bob Sanders, who is probably going to stack the line to take away the run. It will be interesting to see how often the Giants run Jacobs behind FB Madison Hedgecock since MLB Nick Barnett fills holes and sheds blocks effectively, although some feel he can be worn down. OLB A.J. Hawk has been inconsistent, but has the speed to stay with TEs and RBs on passing plays and will be key in countering Ahmad Bradshaw when he's in the game. Green Bay's LBs practically had another bye week against Seattle, which ran the ball just 16 times. They'll be a lot busier on Sunday. EDGE: EVEN [b]Wide Receivers and Tight End vs. Secondary[/b] This is an in-your-face secondary, led by the best set of CBs - Charles Woodson and Al Harris - the Giants have faced. Woodson and Harris can each take on WRs by themselves, so the challenge will be to get at Green Bay's young and sometimes mistake-prone safeties. If they are looking for the pigeon they found in Dallas' Jacques Reeves last week, they may have one in nickel back Tramon Williams, who has recently inherited the position and doesn't always react well to the ball. Rookie WR Steve Smith has been playing a bigger role out of the slot each week and will be key in attacking Williams. The Giants have to be concerned that a season of playing on a bad ankle may have finally caught up to Plaxico Burress. While Burress had eight catches for 144 yards and three TDs against the Packers in Week 2, he was unable to shake free last week, leaving Amani Toomer as the go-to guy downfield. SS Atari Bigby is a big hitter who seems to be maturing. FS Nick Collins is more inconsistent and not a good tackler. Earlier in the season, they had problems with TEs - and big Kevin Boss is making timely contributions each week. EDGE: Packers [b]Offensive Line vs. Defensive Line[/b] Except for sack specialist Aaron Kampman, the Packers D-line is made up of unsung guys who, like the Giants' O-line, are greater than the sum of its parts. The Packers use a seven-man rotation so they can't be worn down and they get contributions from all of them. These are not penetrators against the run but obstacles. DT Ryan Pickett is a typical no-name who absorbs double teams in the Pack's two-gapping system and efficiently funnels the run to the linebackers. The Giants' cohesive line seems to get better as the game goes on. It is efficient, athletic and communicates well, especially with C Shaun O'Hara flanked by agile guards Chris Snee and Rich Seubert. Their task will be to get bodies on the Packer LBs and pick up those run blitzes Green Bay sends. The Packers can put three outstanding pass rushers up front on third down by moving Cullen Jenkins inside and bringing Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila into the game. Kampman's matchup against Kareem McKenzie, the worse pass protector of the Giants' two tackles, is worrisome. EDGE: EVEN [REALLY?] [b]WHEN THE PACKERS HAVE THE BALL[/b] [b]Quarterback vs. Defensive scheme:[/b] The Giants have what it takes to throw Brett Favre off his game, even if he did riddle them for 286 yards and three TDs in Week 2. The Cowboys made Favre look slow in their December showdown by collapsing the pocket. But beware: when he's dialed in, Favre is a blitz-killer and defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo must make a critical choice in getting maximum pressure on Favre or protecting a thin secondary that the savvy future Hall of Famer can easily exploit. Spagnuolo has been generally aggressive all year, supplanting his four-man rush with an unpredictable multitude of zone blitzes, but against a less-mobile Favre he might decide to drop seven into coverage much of the time. Against Tony Romo, Spagnuolo sent everyone - CBs from the outside, LBs and safeties up the middle, knowing the Giants were going to live or die with their pressure. Favre's revival this year has been built on the best decision-making of his career. In the first game against the Giants he started the second half with 14 straight completions, almost all of them short passes. Against Seattle in the divisional round, he continued to play within himself and read every blitz. Favre's record in cold weather is unparalleled and if either Bayou-bred quarterback is going to conquer the elements, it's him. EDGE: Packers [b]Running Backs vs. Linebackers[/b] The Giants could rue the day they traded Ryan Grant. Beginning in Week 8 against Denver, Grant single-handedly transformed the Packers offense into a balanced attack that can both wear you down and light you up. Only LaDainian Tomlinson had more yards than Grant in the second half of the season. The Giants were getting battered by the Cowboys' Marion Barber last week before they began swarming to the ball and started cutting him down at the knees. By the second half, Barber, unaccustomed to playing full games, appeared to get tired and the game swung. They'll need a similar commitment against Grant, who picked up 75 of his 201 yards after the Seahawks made contact. The old Packers' sweep is alive and well with Grant. He has shown surprising breakaway speed, as well, and was the fastest player in the snow last week. Maybe it all sounds like he's the second coming of Paul Hornung and Jim Taylor combined, but his impact on this offense and Favre's ability to play-fake can't be overstated. MLB Antonio Pierce must stay disciplined and continue to make the stops that have made him the leader of this defense. EDGE: Packers [b]Wide Receivers and Tight Ends vs. Secondary[/b] Even if the Giants can get all their battered DBs onto the tundra, the Packers will be a matchup headache. Like last week, the Giants must prevent the big play against a deeper, healthier WR corps coached by former Giants player/coach Jimmy Robinson. Green Bay can spread the field with wideouts, including what they call their "Big Five" set when Favre works out of an empty backfield in the shotgun. That will require R.W. McQuarters to have another game of his life, Sam Madison to gut one out, if he plays, and novice Geoffrey Pope to somehow avoid being attacked like he did vs. the Cowboys. The Packers' top three WRs, Greg Jennings, Donald Driver and rookie James Jones, are versatile. Jennings, who has taken over the No. 1 receiver role from Driver, is Favre's first big-play option and probably Corey Webster's difficult assignment after back-to-back weeks of Joey Galloway and Terrell Owens. Jennings, who can out-run Webster, abused Seattle's top corner, Marcus Trufant, when the Seahawks brought a safety up in the box to stop Grant. TE Donald Lee likes to get underneath zones in the middle, where he draws LB coverage, and is Favre's go-to guy while scrambling. The Giants have to be physical at the line as they disrupt all those West Coast slant patterns. EDGE: Packers [b]Offensive Line vs. Defensive Line[/b] The Giants will win or lose the game here, as usual, although their edge over the Packers isn't as big as it was in Week 2 when offensive coordinator Joe Philbin called Green Bay's blocking "shoddy." While DEs Osi Umenyiora and Michael Strahan are scary matchups on the outside, the best place to exploit the Packers is inside. C Scott Wells is solid, but the play of LG Daryn Colledge (benched in the Dallas game) and RG Jason Spitz had been spotty, although the entire unit had its best performance while manhandling the Seahawks. That puts the spotlight on Justin Tuck, who comes up the middle in the Giants' three-DE formations. The Packers' tackles are good and helped limit sacks to one every 36 passing plays. They will try to pound the undersized Umenyiora and Strahan on running plays. LT Chad Clifton holds his own against speed rushers such as Umenyiora. RT Mark Tauscher, unorthodox but effective, held Strahan without a pressure in Week 2, but he'll face a more aggressive, less-rusty Strahan this time. EDGE: Giants [REALLY?] [b]SPECIAL TEAMS[/b] [b]Kicking Games[/b] Look back at some cold-weather games and how many of them are affected by special teams: the Sean Landeta "whiff" at Soldier Field, Willie Wood muffing a punt in the Ice Bowl. Packer punter Jon Ryan had one of those at Soldier Field this year when two punts were blocked, another went for nine yards and another snap was fumbled. Normally, Ryan provides his coverage teams with plenty of hang time. Mason Crosby, the Packers' rookie kicker, was 31 of 39 on the year with 14 touchbacks on kickoffs. For the Giants, Jeff Feagles remains a premier directional punter. Placekicker Lawrence Tynes has been steady, but hasn't had to make any clutch field goals. EDGE: EVEN [b]Return Games and Coverage[/b] The Giants have been getting good field position from their return men lately - see McQuarters' 25-yard return to set up the decisive 37-yard TD drive on Sunday - but these are by far the best coverage teams they will have faced in the playoffs. The Giants will probably prefer to kick to Tramon Williams than Koren Robinson (23.8-yard average). Giants gunner David Tyree leads a good tackling coverage team. EDGE: Packers [b]COACHING[/b] Give the Giants' coaching staff credit for having their team better prepared and more disciplined than Dallas. Spagnuolo was impressive again as he overcame injuries in the secondary to stifle a high-powered offense in the second half, going with his gut to make all the right calls. Offensive coordinator Kevin Gilbride has to get props for putting Manning into a mistake-free mode the last three weeks, establishing a great pass/run mix. The Packers' meticulous Mike McCarthy might have been Coach of the Year if Bill Belichick wasn't 16-0. He calls the plays and seems to roll out a new game plan every week designed to exploit a team's weaknesses. Whatever Tom Coughlin is selling at the moment, his team is buying. He also has the vast edge in playoff experience over the 1-0 McCarthy. Oh-for-two with the Jaguars, this is Major Tom's third crack in a conference championship game. A charm or a trend? EDGE: Giants [REALLY?] [b]OVERVIEW AND PREDICTION[/b] Having beaten America's Team, the Giants move on to America's Quarterback, one of the feel-good stories of the year. This isn't Favre's first rodeo and one thing has been consistent about his career: the Packers live and die with that brawny right arm. Maybe this is too simple, but when you boil it down, the Giants must get to Favre before he gets to their secondary. Or, to put it another way, destinies seem to be colliding - the Giants on their improbable run, Favre on his magical season. It's a coin flip. [REALLY?] This one comes up . . .[b] PACKERS: 26-20 {HE GOT THE OUTCOME RIGHT!}[/b] [b]Note: This week, I had a hard time determining who was more laughable watching the "Big Blue" hype by the NY sports media elite or the sports media elite who work in NY...or both??[/b] :rotflmao: :rotflmao: :wink: :wink: :thumbsup: :thumbsup: [/QUOTE]
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