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<blockquote data-quote="ARPackFan" data-source="post: 903958" data-attributes="member: 9355"><p>I think any draft prospect that falls outside the physical statistical norms for their position deserves a a closer look. There are reasons for certain body types to be better suited to a specific position so they can hopefully stand up to the physical demands. I doubt a 250# O-guard would make it in the NFL even if he kicked a** at the collage level. Then again sometimes outliers have long successful careers but as you point out it is unlikely - think of Muggsy Bogues (5'-3") in the NBA for 14 years. I think taking an outlier in the draft is a risk best taken fourth round lower. </p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p>Chris Simms (PFT & Podcasts) takes that into account along with throws under pressure when evaluating QBs. This is why he has Zack Wilson (BYU) over Trevor Lawrence. BYU is not exactly a small school but Simms' point is he does more with less and makes more good throws when pressured. </p><p></p><p>Found this statistics project where a collage senior looked at NFL height & weight averages by position. I don't know what year the student prepared it for but I would imagine it is still relevant. Pages 12 & 13 of the document has the box plots with whiskers (outliers) plotted. </p><p></p><p><a href="https://webpages.uidaho.edu/~renaes/251/HON/Student%20PPTs/Avg%20NFL%20ht%20wt.pdf" target="_blank">https://webpages.uidaho.edu/~renaes/251/HON/Student PPTs/Avg NFL ht wt.pdf</a></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="ARPackFan, post: 903958, member: 9355"] I think any draft prospect that falls outside the physical statistical norms for their position deserves a a closer look. There are reasons for certain body types to be better suited to a specific position so they can hopefully stand up to the physical demands. I doubt a 250# O-guard would make it in the NFL even if he kicked a** at the collage level. Then again sometimes outliers have long successful careers but as you point out it is unlikely - think of Muggsy Bogues (5'-3") in the NBA for 14 years. I think taking an outlier in the draft is a risk best taken fourth round lower. Chris Simms (PFT & Podcasts) takes that into account along with throws under pressure when evaluating QBs. This is why he has Zack Wilson (BYU) over Trevor Lawrence. BYU is not exactly a small school but Simms' point is he does more with less and makes more good throws when pressured. Found this statistics project where a collage senior looked at NFL height & weight averages by position. I don't know what year the student prepared it for but I would imagine it is still relevant. Pages 12 & 13 of the document has the box plots with whiskers (outliers) plotted. [URL='https://webpages.uidaho.edu/~renaes/251/HON/Student%20PPTs/Avg%20NFL%20ht%20wt.pdf']https://webpages.uidaho.edu/~renaes/251/HON/Student PPTs/Avg NFL ht wt.pdf[/URL] [/QUOTE]
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