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Jared gets 3 year deal
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<blockquote data-quote="Ogsponge" data-source="post: 627269" data-attributes="member: 9358"><p>Since everyone is arguing about whether the “experts” get right or not I thought it would be fun to crunch some quick and simple numbers by looking at the 2014 All-Pro Team vs. their draft position. I did not include the kickers because they are always drafted late and they greatly skew the numbers. For instance, if I include the kickers the average draft position falls from 53 to 67. Also for an undrafted player I used a draft position of 250.</p><p></p><p>So below is the full all pro team along with their draft some position and here are some quick numbers:</p><p></p><p>Average Draft Position: 53 (2nd round)</p><p></p><p>Median Draft Postion: 24 (1st round)</p><p></p><p># of top 10 picks: 6 those were 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 6th and 9th x2</p><p></p><p># of 1st round picks: 14</p><p></p><p>58% of the team was drafted in the 1st round.</p><p></p><p># of 2nd round picks: 4</p><p></p><p>75% of the team was drafted in the 1st 2 rounds.</p><p></p><p># of 3rd round picks: 3</p><p></p><p>#of 4th round picks: 1</p><p></p><p># of 5th round picks: 1</p><p></p><p># of 6th round picks: 1</p><p></p><p># of 7th round picks: 0</p><p></p><p># of undrafted picks: 1</p><p></p><p>25% of the team was drafted after the 2nd round</p><p></p><p>I actually find this a bit fascinating. I wish I had all day long to sit around and figure this out for every single year. So what I am seeing looking at this is that the experts generally get right. Now of course there are probably hundreds of 1st round picks playing in the NFL that did not make last years all pro team so it may look like they did not get it right but there are only 24 spots available on the all pro team each year so of course there are going to be a lot of 1st round picks each year that do not make the cut.</p><p></p><p>Anyway, last year 75% of the all pro team was drafted in the 1st 2 rounds with 58% of that being 1st rounders. Again, this was all quick and dirty numbers but it seems to me that the experts probably get it right more often than not as it appears there are not a lot of players that get drafted after the 2nd round that get recognized as the best of the best.</p><p></p><p>QB Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay</p><p></p><p>College/draft status: California/1st round (24th overall, by Green Bay) in 2005</p><p></p><p>RB Le'Veon Bell, Pittsburgh</p><p></p><p>College/draft status: Michigan State/2nd round (48th overall, by Pittsburgh) in 2013</p><p></p><p>RB DeMarco Murray, Dallas</p><p></p><p>College/draft status: Oklahoma/3rd round (71st overall, by Dallas) in 2011</p><p></p><p>FB John Kuhn, Green Bay</p><p></p><p>College/draft status: Shippensburg (Pa.)/undrafted free agent (signed by Pittsburgh) in 2005</p><p></p><p>WR Antonio Brown, Pittsburgh</p><p></p><p>College/draft status: Central Michigan/6th round (195th overall, by Pittsburgh) in 2010</p><p></p><p>WR Dez Bryant, Dallas</p><p></p><p>College/draft status: Oklahoma State/1st round (24th overall, by Dallas) in 2010</p><p></p><p>TE Rob Gronkowski, New England</p><p></p><p>College/draft status: Arizona/2nd round (42nd overall, by New England) in 2010</p><p></p><p>T Tyron Smith, Dallas</p><p></p><p>College/draft status: USC/1st round (9th overall, by Dallas) in 2011</p><p></p><p>T Joe Thomas, Cleveland</p><p></p><p>College/draft status: Wisconsin/1st round (3rd overall, by Cleveland) in 2007</p><p></p><p>G Zack Martin, Dallas</p><p></p><p>College/draft status: Notre Dame/1st round (16th overall, by Dallas) in 2014</p><p></p><p>G Marshal Yanda, Baltimore</p><p></p><p>College/draft status: Iowa/3rd round (86th overall, by Baltimore) in 2007</p><p></p><p>C Maurkice Pouncey, Pittsburgh</p><p></p><p>College/draft status: Florida/1st round (18th overall, by Pittsburgh) in 2010</p><p></p><p>DEFENSE</p><p></p><p>DE J.J. Watt, Houston</p><p></p><p>College/draft status: Wisconsin/1st round (11th overall, by Houston) in 2011</p><p></p><p>DE Mario Williams, Buffalo</p><p></p><p>College/draft status: North Carolina State/1st round (1st overall, by Houston) in 2006</p><p></p><p>DT Marcell Dareus, Buffalo</p><p></p><p>College/draft status: Alabama/1st round (3rd overall, by Buffalo) in 2011</p><p></p><p>DT Ndamukong Suh, Detroit</p><p></p><p>College/draft status: Nebraska/1st round (2nd overall, by Detroit) in 2010</p><p></p><p>OLB Elvis Dumervil, Baltimore</p><p></p><p>College/draft status: Louisville/4th round (126th overall, by Denver) in 2006</p><p></p><p>OLB Justin Houston, Kansas City</p><p></p><p>College/draft status: Georgia/3rd round (70th overall, by Kansas City) in 2011</p><p></p><p>ILB Luke Kuechly, Carolina</p><p></p><p>College/draft status: Boston College/1st round (9th overall, by Carolina) in 2012</p><p></p><p>ILB Bobby Wagner, Seattle</p><p></p><p>College/draft status: Utah State/2nd round (47th overall, by Seattle) in 2012</p><p></p><p>CB Darrelle Revis, New England</p><p></p><p>College/draft status: Pitt/1st round (14th overall, by New York Jets) in 2007</p><p></p><p>CB Richard Sherman, Seattle</p><p></p><p>College/draft status: Stanford/5th round (154th overall, by Seattle) in 2011</p><p></p><p>S Earl Thomas, Seattle</p><p></p><p>College/draft status: Texas/1st round (14th overall, by Seattle) in 2010</p><p></p><p>S Eric Weddle, San Diego</p><p></p><p>College/draft status: Utah/2nd round (37th overall, by San Diego) in 2007</p><p></p><p>SPECIALISTS</p><p></p><p>KR Adam Jones, Cincinnati</p><p></p><p>College/draft status: West Virginia/1st round as CB (6th overall, by Tennessee) in 2005</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Ogsponge, post: 627269, member: 9358"] Since everyone is arguing about whether the “experts” get right or not I thought it would be fun to crunch some quick and simple numbers by looking at the 2014 All-Pro Team vs. their draft position. I did not include the kickers because they are always drafted late and they greatly skew the numbers. For instance, if I include the kickers the average draft position falls from 53 to 67. Also for an undrafted player I used a draft position of 250. So below is the full all pro team along with their draft some position and here are some quick numbers: Average Draft Position: 53 (2nd round) Median Draft Postion: 24 (1st round) # of top 10 picks: 6 those were 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 6th and 9th x2 # of 1st round picks: 14 58% of the team was drafted in the 1st round. # of 2nd round picks: 4 75% of the team was drafted in the 1st 2 rounds. # of 3rd round picks: 3 #of 4th round picks: 1 # of 5th round picks: 1 # of 6th round picks: 1 # of 7th round picks: 0 # of undrafted picks: 1 25% of the team was drafted after the 2nd round I actually find this a bit fascinating. I wish I had all day long to sit around and figure this out for every single year. So what I am seeing looking at this is that the experts generally get right. Now of course there are probably hundreds of 1st round picks playing in the NFL that did not make last years all pro team so it may look like they did not get it right but there are only 24 spots available on the all pro team each year so of course there are going to be a lot of 1st round picks each year that do not make the cut. Anyway, last year 75% of the all pro team was drafted in the 1st 2 rounds with 58% of that being 1st rounders. Again, this was all quick and dirty numbers but it seems to me that the experts probably get it right more often than not as it appears there are not a lot of players that get drafted after the 2nd round that get recognized as the best of the best. QB Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay College/draft status: California/1st round (24th overall, by Green Bay) in 2005 RB Le'Veon Bell, Pittsburgh College/draft status: Michigan State/2nd round (48th overall, by Pittsburgh) in 2013 RB DeMarco Murray, Dallas College/draft status: Oklahoma/3rd round (71st overall, by Dallas) in 2011 FB John Kuhn, Green Bay College/draft status: Shippensburg (Pa.)/undrafted free agent (signed by Pittsburgh) in 2005 WR Antonio Brown, Pittsburgh College/draft status: Central Michigan/6th round (195th overall, by Pittsburgh) in 2010 WR Dez Bryant, Dallas College/draft status: Oklahoma State/1st round (24th overall, by Dallas) in 2010 TE Rob Gronkowski, New England College/draft status: Arizona/2nd round (42nd overall, by New England) in 2010 T Tyron Smith, Dallas College/draft status: USC/1st round (9th overall, by Dallas) in 2011 T Joe Thomas, Cleveland College/draft status: Wisconsin/1st round (3rd overall, by Cleveland) in 2007 G Zack Martin, Dallas College/draft status: Notre Dame/1st round (16th overall, by Dallas) in 2014 G Marshal Yanda, Baltimore College/draft status: Iowa/3rd round (86th overall, by Baltimore) in 2007 C Maurkice Pouncey, Pittsburgh College/draft status: Florida/1st round (18th overall, by Pittsburgh) in 2010 DEFENSE DE J.J. Watt, Houston College/draft status: Wisconsin/1st round (11th overall, by Houston) in 2011 DE Mario Williams, Buffalo College/draft status: North Carolina State/1st round (1st overall, by Houston) in 2006 DT Marcell Dareus, Buffalo College/draft status: Alabama/1st round (3rd overall, by Buffalo) in 2011 DT Ndamukong Suh, Detroit College/draft status: Nebraska/1st round (2nd overall, by Detroit) in 2010 OLB Elvis Dumervil, Baltimore College/draft status: Louisville/4th round (126th overall, by Denver) in 2006 OLB Justin Houston, Kansas City College/draft status: Georgia/3rd round (70th overall, by Kansas City) in 2011 ILB Luke Kuechly, Carolina College/draft status: Boston College/1st round (9th overall, by Carolina) in 2012 ILB Bobby Wagner, Seattle College/draft status: Utah State/2nd round (47th overall, by Seattle) in 2012 CB Darrelle Revis, New England College/draft status: Pitt/1st round (14th overall, by New York Jets) in 2007 CB Richard Sherman, Seattle College/draft status: Stanford/5th round (154th overall, by Seattle) in 2011 S Earl Thomas, Seattle College/draft status: Texas/1st round (14th overall, by Seattle) in 2010 S Eric Weddle, San Diego College/draft status: Utah/2nd round (37th overall, by San Diego) in 2007 SPECIALISTS KR Adam Jones, Cincinnati College/draft status: West Virginia/1st round as CB (6th overall, by Tennessee) in 2005 [/QUOTE]
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