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First Round swings and misses.
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<blockquote data-quote="Carl" data-source="post: 542558" data-attributes="member: 9497"><p><a href="http://www.sportingnews.com/nfl/story/2012-04-22/nfl-draft-2012-first-round-disappointments" target="_blank">http://www.sportingnews.com/nfl/story/2012-04-22/nfl-draft-2012-first-round-disappointments</a></p><p></p><p>Only 17% of the first round picks during the ten years of this study made multiple pro bowls, which could quality as elite players.</p><p></p><p>Of the ten first round picks you've listed, the Packers found two elite players or 20%.</p><p></p><p>To me Jordy counts as an elite player too and when you trade down for him, that's a fantastic pick. If Jordy was picked in the first round (and their rate of elite guys jumps up to 30%), nobody would mind now. He could have been their first rounder, but the Packers got more value and still picked him up.</p><p></p><p>Also, you act like hitting in the first round is the be all end all of draft success. You mention the players the Vikings picked as examples, but don't mention the Vikings are not a good team right now. They've had nowhere near the success of the Packers.</p><p></p><p>You can't just look the first round and call failure. I don't care where players are drafted when some guys pan out.</p><p>For example, they picked up Lacy after Datone. If Datone doesn't work out, but Lacy does, why does it matter Jones went first? I'd take Lacy and a bust (which I will not say Datone is yet at all) over two average guys. Finding a stud in the first two rounds is a success whether the first round pick works out or not. Same thing applies to Cobb and Sherrod.</p><p></p><p>Finally, regarding, " just 2 that have produced for the team at a level commensurate with what is expected of first round players." Actually, those two have performed WELL ABOVE what is expected out of a first round pick.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Carl, post: 542558, member: 9497"] [url]http://www.sportingnews.com/nfl/story/2012-04-22/nfl-draft-2012-first-round-disappointments[/url] Only 17% of the first round picks during the ten years of this study made multiple pro bowls, which could quality as elite players. Of the ten first round picks you've listed, the Packers found two elite players or 20%. To me Jordy counts as an elite player too and when you trade down for him, that's a fantastic pick. If Jordy was picked in the first round (and their rate of elite guys jumps up to 30%), nobody would mind now. He could have been their first rounder, but the Packers got more value and still picked him up. Also, you act like hitting in the first round is the be all end all of draft success. You mention the players the Vikings picked as examples, but don't mention the Vikings are not a good team right now. They've had nowhere near the success of the Packers. You can't just look the first round and call failure. I don't care where players are drafted when some guys pan out. For example, they picked up Lacy after Datone. If Datone doesn't work out, but Lacy does, why does it matter Jones went first? I'd take Lacy and a bust (which I will not say Datone is yet at all) over two average guys. Finding a stud in the first two rounds is a success whether the first round pick works out or not. Same thing applies to Cobb and Sherrod. Finally, regarding, " just 2 that have produced for the team at a level commensurate with what is expected of first round players." Actually, those two have performed WELL ABOVE what is expected out of a first round pick. [/QUOTE]
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