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Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
Draft busts
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<blockquote data-quote="CaliforniaCheez" data-source="post: 56038" data-attributes="member: 167"><p>Every team has had its first round bust. The more famous ones are taken in the top 10 of their draft class. The average draft choice is really 50-50 or a coin flip if he makes it or not. The first round guys are better with about 2 of 3 having success. The seventh round maybe 25 % have long successful careers. </p><p></p><p>So if one considers drafting a 50% success rate then it is better to have more picks. Ron Wolf could make up for busts by having success later. </p><p>Sherman lost picks to move up and those fewer picks were still 50-50.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="CaliforniaCheez, post: 56038, member: 167"] Every team has had its first round bust. The more famous ones are taken in the top 10 of their draft class. The average draft choice is really 50-50 or a coin flip if he makes it or not. The first round guys are better with about 2 of 3 having success. The seventh round maybe 25 % have long successful careers. So if one considers drafting a 50% success rate then it is better to have more picks. Ron Wolf could make up for busts by having success later. Sherman lost picks to move up and those fewer picks were still 50-50. [/QUOTE]
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