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Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
2023 season finale vs the Bears: Win and in edition part deux
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<blockquote data-quote="OldSchool101" data-source="post: 1020977" data-attributes="member: 10086"><p>You may have said that tongue n cheek. That said, It’s interesting but I read somewhere that the league as a whole scores 2pt conversions at a 58% rate. Also recently read that the NFL floats around 95% XPM%. Couple this with.. I’m pretty sure GB is better in the Redzone than average ? We’re definitely worse than average at XPM this far.</p><p>I’d round each # a hair. But the statistical average for GB (or better)</p><p>60%X2pts = 1.2 average points per try</p><p>90%XPA = 0.9 Avg pts per try</p><p></p><p>Obviously we could vary this on conditions such as Opponent ST rankings, weather, road vs home or even in-game scores and time on clock etc.</p><p></p><p></p><p>As a rule, Wouldn’t it be better to apply your scenario of 2pts knowing that? At least in calculated games? Are we missing points?</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="OldSchool101, post: 1020977, member: 10086"] You may have said that tongue n cheek. That said, It’s interesting but I read somewhere that the league as a whole scores 2pt conversions at a 58% rate. Also recently read that the NFL floats around 95% XPM%. Couple this with.. I’m pretty sure GB is better in the Redzone than average ? We’re definitely worse than average at XPM this far. I’d round each # a hair. But the statistical average for GB (or better) 60%X2pts = 1.2 average points per try 90%XPA = 0.9 Avg pts per try Obviously we could vary this on conditions such as Opponent ST rankings, weather, road vs home or even in-game scores and time on clock etc. As a rule, Wouldn’t it be better to apply your scenario of 2pts knowing that? At least in calculated games? Are we missing points? [/QUOTE]
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2023 season finale vs the Bears: Win and in edition part deux
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