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2018 Salary Cap Analysis
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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 768048"><p>In the above analysis, I've indicated that setting aside that $4 mil reserve goes along with current effective cap space of $8 - $10.5 mil depending on which cite you look at. If you want to make it $2 mil / $10 - $12.5 mil <strong><em>this moment </em></strong>there's a big problem: it's a long way from now to the end of the season.. That $2 mil would have to carry you through from<strong><em> this date forward</em></strong> to the Superbowl kickoff <img src="/styles/default/xenforo/smilies/wink.png" class="smilie" loading="lazy" alt=";)" title="Wink ;)" data-shortname=";)" />.</p><p></p><p>Guys end up on PUP and IR before the season even starts. You have to account for that <strong><em>at this time</em></strong>. If you set that reserve at $2 mil now it could go puff if somebody blows an ACL just running around in OTAs in signing a cheap vet replacement. Consider a Brooks-type signing a week before opening day for injury replacemnt instead of merely depth as was the case in that instance. Replacing Nelson with Jones was a $900,000 tapping of the reserve two weeks before opening day.</p><p></p><p>It was Thompson's habit to only promote injury replacements from the PS once the season starts. If that approach continues, $2 million on <strong><em>opening day</em></strong> would cover 4 full season equivalents or 8 half season equivalents promoted from the PS. That might be adequate then, but now now.</p><p></p><p>We can simply lump the two figures together: $12 - $14.5 in usable cap space for FA signings and PUP /IR replacements. I prefer to keep them separate with the $4 mil reserve as a reminder that sh*t happens before opening day. As opening day approaches the reserve amount could be reduced, which may account for why the Packers signed Brooks for depth a week before opening day as they got to opening day nearly unscathed, with only Biegle on PUP and Talley on IR.</p><p></p><p>Some wags in these pages want to say its a one-year-at-a-time outlook by necessity. It is not. It is only if you want it to be. And if you're going to go out and blow $10 mil now in FA, it's more a "this moment" outlook.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 768048"] In the above analysis, I've indicated that setting aside that $4 mil reserve goes along with current effective cap space of $8 - $10.5 mil depending on which cite you look at. If you want to make it $2 mil / $10 - $12.5 mil [B][I]this moment [/I][/B]there's a big problem: it's a long way from now to the end of the season.. That $2 mil would have to carry you through from[B][I] this date forward[/I][/B] to the Superbowl kickoff ;). Guys end up on PUP and IR before the season even starts. You have to account for that [B][I]at this time[/I][/B]. If you set that reserve at $2 mil now it could go puff if somebody blows an ACL just running around in OTAs in signing a cheap vet replacement. Consider a Brooks-type signing a week before opening day for injury replacemnt instead of merely depth as was the case in that instance. Replacing Nelson with Jones was a $900,000 tapping of the reserve two weeks before opening day. It was Thompson's habit to only promote injury replacements from the PS once the season starts. If that approach continues, $2 million on [B][I]opening day[/I][/B] would cover 4 full season equivalents or 8 half season equivalents promoted from the PS. That might be adequate then, but now now. We can simply lump the two figures together: $12 - $14.5 in usable cap space for FA signings and PUP /IR replacements. I prefer to keep them separate with the $4 mil reserve as a reminder that sh*t happens before opening day. As opening day approaches the reserve amount could be reduced, which may account for why the Packers signed Brooks for depth a week before opening day as they got to opening day nearly unscathed, with only Biegle on PUP and Talley on IR. Some wags in these pages want to say its a one-year-at-a-time outlook by necessity. It is not. It is only if you want it to be. And if you're going to go out and blow $10 mil now in FA, it's more a "this moment" outlook. [/QUOTE]
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