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Draft Talk
With their 1st Pick in the 2018 NFL Draft the Packers select...
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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 772304"><p>Good points.</p><p></p><p>However, you've added more "ifs" to the previous "if" that the Packers have multiple players similarly graded that they'd be happy to take at #14, with no clear standout, that all happen to still be on the board at #14 making a trade down attractive.</p><p></p><p>Jackson may end up with the Bills, for instance. A Jackson contingency agreement in principle would be a difficult one to arrange very far in advance: "If Jackson is avilable at #14, we'll make the trade if players X, Y and Z are still on the board" with the Chargers, or players X and Y with the Ravens. The Packers would then be exposing their top prospect scouting where such info can travel. I think it would have to be more in the moment which makes getting a deal done more difficult.</p><p></p><p>As for the compensation, the Jets were quite generous out of desperation. They paid up to position themselves well in advance for a top 3 QB and had to pay the price. I would expect 2019 picks to be discounted somewhat in trade because of opportunity cost in a "what have you done for me lately" league. Getting a future 2nd. rounder for free is uncommon.</p><p></p><p>Of all the "ifs", the one most plausible is a Packer view that a cluster of players in the #14 - #20 range represent approximately equal value from a grade/fit/need standpoint, with the needs being several, as the moment approaches. Then the conditions need to be ripe for somebody else in the moment.</p><p></p><p>Trading down is certainly possible, and possibly quite attractive, but it would not be a likely event.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 772304"] Good points. However, you've added more "ifs" to the previous "if" that the Packers have multiple players similarly graded that they'd be happy to take at #14, with no clear standout, that all happen to still be on the board at #14 making a trade down attractive. Jackson may end up with the Bills, for instance. A Jackson contingency agreement in principle would be a difficult one to arrange very far in advance: "If Jackson is avilable at #14, we'll make the trade if players X, Y and Z are still on the board" with the Chargers, or players X and Y with the Ravens. The Packers would then be exposing their top prospect scouting where such info can travel. I think it would have to be more in the moment which makes getting a deal done more difficult. As for the compensation, the Jets were quite generous out of desperation. They paid up to position themselves well in advance for a top 3 QB and had to pay the price. I would expect 2019 picks to be discounted somewhat in trade because of opportunity cost in a "what have you done for me lately" league. Getting a future 2nd. rounder for free is uncommon. Of all the "ifs", the one most plausible is a Packer view that a cluster of players in the #14 - #20 range represent approximately equal value from a grade/fit/need standpoint, with the needs being several, as the moment approaches. Then the conditions need to be ripe for somebody else in the moment. Trading down is certainly possible, and possibly quite attractive, but it would not be a likely event. [/QUOTE]
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