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Which Team(s) Are Most Likely To Regress From Winning Records Last Year To Losing Ones This Year?
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<blockquote data-quote="Candidate for Deletion" data-source="post: 729880" data-attributes="member: 12503"><p>I've always had an issue with quoting whether we lost starters or not. We lost guys who played significant snaps last year, to the level that they were essential parts of the defense. Peppers and Jones both played more snaps than Matthews (at 584, 548, and 476 respectively). Guion is all but off the team, and played almost as many (448). We rotate and sub package so much that saying "we only lost one starter" is misleading at best. We definitely lost personnel, and while we had several guys step up, got several that we all really like, and had injured players come back to healthy status this year, we are by no means shored up. In fact, I'd say that the opinion that we are worse off than last year is as equally viable as the opposite.</p><p></p><p></p><p>Agreed, and I did not mean to suggest this if that is how you read it. In fact, I was actually thinking as I wrote my piece about Rodgers how "statistically well above average" is pretty much average for Rodgers. Still, that having been said, last year's Running of the Tables was just incredible. I remember finding a post I had put up from the Friday before the first RotT game where I talked about how likely it was that MM and/or TT get fired when we missed the playoffs, seeing as only winning out could get us to the playoffs and we all knew that wouldn't happen. Lol!</p><p></p><p></p><p>That's totally a fair opinion, but as I said above I think the opposite is equally fair, suggesting that the compromise of "pretty much the same" is likely hard to disprove. As for your positional ranking, I'd say that our expectations at RB last year support the idea that, as of right now and this same point last year, we are worse at RB. TE is a place where I remain unconvinced, as I outlined in an earlier post. I will remain highly confident in our O-Line. Defense I agree we are better at DL and S, I'd say we remain an unknown quantity at CB, and our LB corps is such a dumpster fire that there is no point in comparing it to anything else.</p><p></p><p></p><p>I too love macro trends, but they're NOT predictive - or, rather, given that they are macro trends the number of factors one would have to identify easily reach the thousands and therefore make prediction a computationally complicated endeavor. Simply look at all the macro trend based stock market books which got everything wrong on that one.</p><p></p><p></p><p>Loved your post, thanks!</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Candidate for Deletion, post: 729880, member: 12503"] I've always had an issue with quoting whether we lost starters or not. We lost guys who played significant snaps last year, to the level that they were essential parts of the defense. Peppers and Jones both played more snaps than Matthews (at 584, 548, and 476 respectively). Guion is all but off the team, and played almost as many (448). We rotate and sub package so much that saying "we only lost one starter" is misleading at best. We definitely lost personnel, and while we had several guys step up, got several that we all really like, and had injured players come back to healthy status this year, we are by no means shored up. In fact, I'd say that the opinion that we are worse off than last year is as equally viable as the opposite. Agreed, and I did not mean to suggest this if that is how you read it. In fact, I was actually thinking as I wrote my piece about Rodgers how "statistically well above average" is pretty much average for Rodgers. Still, that having been said, last year's Running of the Tables was just incredible. I remember finding a post I had put up from the Friday before the first RotT game where I talked about how likely it was that MM and/or TT get fired when we missed the playoffs, seeing as only winning out could get us to the playoffs and we all knew that wouldn't happen. Lol! That's totally a fair opinion, but as I said above I think the opposite is equally fair, suggesting that the compromise of "pretty much the same" is likely hard to disprove. As for your positional ranking, I'd say that our expectations at RB last year support the idea that, as of right now and this same point last year, we are worse at RB. TE is a place where I remain unconvinced, as I outlined in an earlier post. I will remain highly confident in our O-Line. Defense I agree we are better at DL and S, I'd say we remain an unknown quantity at CB, and our LB corps is such a dumpster fire that there is no point in comparing it to anything else. I too love macro trends, but they're NOT predictive - or, rather, given that they are macro trends the number of factors one would have to identify easily reach the thousands and therefore make prediction a computationally complicated endeavor. Simply look at all the macro trend based stock market books which got everything wrong on that one. Loved your post, thanks! [/QUOTE]
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Which Team(s) Are Most Likely To Regress From Winning Records Last Year To Losing Ones This Year?
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