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Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
Which Team(s) Are Most Likely To Regress From Winning Records Last Year To Losing Ones This Year?
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<blockquote data-quote="Dantés" data-source="post: 727918" data-attributes="member: 12283"><p>At any given time for any given team, you can find plenty of fans who want everyone fired regardless of the teams' performances. </p><p></p><p>That is kind of crazy, because the Redskins dropped a touchdown per game after Shanahan left. The Browns' offense had a rare stretch of offensive competence under him. Then this last year the Falcons, with very comparable personnel to what's been there for years, were an all time great offense. </p><p></p><p>10.2% of Ryan's completions last year went for touchdowns. For his career prior, he was at 6.9%. I think that illustrates the effect that Shanahan, in year two with the offense installed, had on Ryan & Co. That would be the difference between Ryan's 38 touchdowns last year and a year with only 26. </p><p></p><p>Most teams with such dramatic scoring offenses regress by about 6-7 points, leaving them still as very good offenses but not historic. I would expect that to be the floor of any regression in ATL this year, given that Shanahan is gone and they're coming off the worst SB loss of all time. 10+ points would not shock me.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Dantés, post: 727918, member: 12283"] At any given time for any given team, you can find plenty of fans who want everyone fired regardless of the teams' performances. That is kind of crazy, because the Redskins dropped a touchdown per game after Shanahan left. The Browns' offense had a rare stretch of offensive competence under him. Then this last year the Falcons, with very comparable personnel to what's been there for years, were an all time great offense. 10.2% of Ryan's completions last year went for touchdowns. For his career prior, he was at 6.9%. I think that illustrates the effect that Shanahan, in year two with the offense installed, had on Ryan & Co. That would be the difference between Ryan's 38 touchdowns last year and a year with only 26. Most teams with such dramatic scoring offenses regress by about 6-7 points, leaving them still as very good offenses but not historic. I would expect that to be the floor of any regression in ATL this year, given that Shanahan is gone and they're coming off the worst SB loss of all time. 10+ points would not shock me. [/QUOTE]
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Which Team(s) Are Most Likely To Regress From Winning Records Last Year To Losing Ones This Year?
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