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Trusting in the Present Leadership
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<blockquote data-quote="Dantés" data-source="post: 1057759" data-attributes="member: 12283"><p>I think about this statistically. The odds are very low that every young player on the roster improves to the point that they impact the overall 2025 team, but they are just as low that none of them do. </p><p></p><p>At RB, there will likely be three backs on the roster in the improvement window. I think there's a 20% chance that none of them improve to the extent of impacting the 2025 team, a 20% chance that all of them do, and 60% chance that just one of them does. </p><p></p><p>Tight end is similar with Kraft, Musgrave, and Sims. </p><p></p><p>At WR, I think there's a 25% chance that neither Reed nor Wicks take a step that impacts the team, a 25% chance that both do, and a 50% chance that one or the other does. </p><p></p><p>Same dynamic on the OL between Walker, Morgan, Rhyan, and Tom. </p><p></p><p>Same dynamic on the DL between Wyatt, Brooks, and Wooden.</p><p></p><p>Same dynamic at DE between LVN, Cox, and Enagbare.</p><p></p><p>Same dynamic at LB between Walker and Cooper.</p><p></p><p>Same dynamic at safety between Bullard and Williams. </p><p></p><p>Then you have the probability of Love continuing to grow at QB (or just stay healthy this season). </p><p></p><p>Then you have the contributions of another rookie class.</p><p></p><p>Then you have the contributions of a new free agent class.</p><p></p><p>And all of this on top of the fact that they won't lose a single player of any significance from the 2024 roster. </p><p></p><p>So I see zero merit to the contention that this Packers roster has hit its ceiling. I don't mean this personally, but it's one of the more backwards takes I've seen in a long time.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Dantés, post: 1057759, member: 12283"] I think about this statistically. The odds are very low that every young player on the roster improves to the point that they impact the overall 2025 team, but they are just as low that none of them do. At RB, there will likely be three backs on the roster in the improvement window. I think there's a 20% chance that none of them improve to the extent of impacting the 2025 team, a 20% chance that all of them do, and 60% chance that just one of them does. Tight end is similar with Kraft, Musgrave, and Sims. At WR, I think there's a 25% chance that neither Reed nor Wicks take a step that impacts the team, a 25% chance that both do, and a 50% chance that one or the other does. Same dynamic on the OL between Walker, Morgan, Rhyan, and Tom. Same dynamic on the DL between Wyatt, Brooks, and Wooden. Same dynamic at DE between LVN, Cox, and Enagbare. Same dynamic at LB between Walker and Cooper. Same dynamic at safety between Bullard and Williams. Then you have the probability of Love continuing to grow at QB (or just stay healthy this season). Then you have the contributions of another rookie class. Then you have the contributions of a new free agent class. And all of this on top of the fact that they won't lose a single player of any significance from the 2024 roster. So I see zero merit to the contention that this Packers roster has hit its ceiling. I don't mean this personally, but it's one of the more backwards takes I've seen in a long time. [/QUOTE]
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