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Trade Watson?
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<blockquote data-quote="OldSchool101" data-source="post: 1094842" data-attributes="member: 10086"><p>I sometimes think we need to take the context of the data to show a players worth. Because there are so many variables. As one example If we’re simply saying “”player X makes us 1 yard better per play”. First of all 1 yard better than who? As one example when Christian Watson was out Josh Jacobs led our Receivers in 2 separate games. Heck Matt Golden led the group and even Savion was getting targets. Do we compare a seasoned WR stats to a RB receiving stats? How many RB’s are in the top 20 most Receiving Stats? I’ll guess.. zero? Maybe 1? Which player tends to log more Receiving yards per target? A starting WR or a starting RB? RBs aren’t expected to log 17 per catch. Matter of fact a RB is more likely to just run the ball more when everyone is healthy and playing at WR.</p><p></p><p>Also if Watson goes out and he’s replaced with a Rookie like Golden. Do we really expect a Rookie with 3 college seasons to come in for weeks 1-7 in his first starting season and light up the Offense more than a WR in their 4th season? I don’t expect that and if think it would drop off at minimum 30-40 yards by default.</p><p>Do we assume a Rookie WR will never improve in year 2 or 3 or 4? I think I would naturally expect Golden to improve as his career evolves.</p><p></p><p>Also which Defenses did we play in comparison games and what is their Ranking. Did those rankings match perfectly when Player X was in and out? I doubt that.</p><p></p><p>There’s too many moving variables to assume that each week the conditions of our opponent, the venue, the weather were exactly the same. That’s really the only way we’d be able to accurately say player X makes the team better by exactly this 0.5 yards per play. Heck maybe really 1.5 per play? How would you know without the same conditions? </p><p></p><p>I guess I would just expect replacement players like Golden or Savion to gradually improve and we should really be comparing them in year 2,3 or 4 when they have been primed in system and have a strong connection with their QB.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="OldSchool101, post: 1094842, member: 10086"] I sometimes think we need to take the context of the data to show a players worth. Because there are so many variables. As one example If we’re simply saying “”player X makes us 1 yard better per play”. First of all 1 yard better than who? As one example when Christian Watson was out Josh Jacobs led our Receivers in 2 separate games. Heck Matt Golden led the group and even Savion was getting targets. Do we compare a seasoned WR stats to a RB receiving stats? How many RB’s are in the top 20 most Receiving Stats? I’ll guess.. zero? Maybe 1? Which player tends to log more Receiving yards per target? A starting WR or a starting RB? RBs aren’t expected to log 17 per catch. Matter of fact a RB is more likely to just run the ball more when everyone is healthy and playing at WR. Also if Watson goes out and he’s replaced with a Rookie like Golden. Do we really expect a Rookie with 3 college seasons to come in for weeks 1-7 in his first starting season and light up the Offense more than a WR in their 4th season? I don’t expect that and if think it would drop off at minimum 30-40 yards by default. Do we assume a Rookie WR will never improve in year 2 or 3 or 4? I think I would naturally expect Golden to improve as his career evolves. Also which Defenses did we play in comparison games and what is their Ranking. Did those rankings match perfectly when Player X was in and out? I doubt that. There’s too many moving variables to assume that each week the conditions of our opponent, the venue, the weather were exactly the same. That’s really the only way we’d be able to accurately say player X makes the team better by exactly this 0.5 yards per play. Heck maybe really 1.5 per play? How would you know without the same conditions? I guess I would just expect replacement players like Golden or Savion to gradually improve and we should really be comparing them in year 2,3 or 4 when they have been primed in system and have a strong connection with their QB. [/QUOTE]
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