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TNF: Green Bay goes to Seattle
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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 800193"><p><strong><span style="font-size: 22px">Matchup Stats</span></strong></p><p><strong></strong></p><p>I'll put the conclusion up front this time with a couple of additional categories (injuries and special teams) added since last time.</p><p></p><p>The betting line is Seattle -2.5 which would make the Packers -0.5 on a neutral field. I believe that line understates the Seattle advantage. I have them down for home field (-3), red zone (-3) and a net edge in other categories. I'd put Seattle at -8. The Packers 0-4 road record reinforces that picture. A Green Bay upset would be a major accomplishment and another must win for momentum going into Minnesota. </p><p></p><p><strong>Passer Rating - Edge SEA</strong></p><p></p><p>Wilson Passer Rating: 110.2 (incl. 5 INTs)</p><p>GB Passer Rating Against: 92.9 (incl. 6 INTs)</p><p></p><p>Rodgers Passer Rating: 100.0 (incl. 1 INT)</p><p>SEA Passer Rating Against: 88.7 (incl. 10 INTs)</p><p></p><p><strong>Sacks - Edge GB</strong></p><p></p><p>Wilson Sacked: 29</p><p>GB Sacks: 31</p><p></p><p>Rodgers Sacked: 24</p><p>SEA Sacks: 23</p><p></p><p><strong>Fumbles - Edge SEA</strong></p><p></p><p>SEA Lost Fumbles: 3</p><p>GB Recovered Fumbles: 5</p><p></p><p>GB Lost Fumbles: 9</p><p>SEA Recovered Fumbles: 6</p><p></p><p><strong>Red Zone TDs - Edge SEA</strong></p><p></p><p>SEA Red Zone TD%: 73%</p><p>GB Red Zone TD% Against: 55%</p><p></p><p>GB Red Zone TD%: 60%</p><p>SEA Red Zone TD% Against: 59%</p><p></p><p><strong>21+ yard TDs - Slight Edge GB</strong></p><p></p><p>SEA 21+ yard TD scores: 7 (7 pass)</p><p>GB 21+ yard TDs against: 8 (7 pass, 1 pick six)</p><p></p><p>GB 21+ yard TD scores: 6 (5 pass, 1 run)</p><p>*SEA 21+ yard TDs against: 8 (5 pass, 1 run, 2 pick 6)</p><p></p><p>* Lockett accounts for 4 TD receptions from outside the red zone to go with 3 in the red zone. That should be an Alexander match-up all day.</p><p></p><p><strong>3rd. and 4th. Down Conversions - Push</strong></p><p></p><p>SEA 3rd. Down Conversions: 38%</p><p>GB 3rd. Down Conversions Against: 37%</p><p></p><p>GB 3rd. Down Conversions: 40%</p><p>SEA 3rd. Down Conversions Against: 37%</p><p></p><p>GB 4th. Down Coversions: 36% (4 of 11)</p><p>SEA 4th. Down Conversions Against: 60% (3 of 5)</p><p></p><p>SEA 4th. Down Coversions: 63% (5 of 8)</p><p>GB 4th. Down Conversions Against: 50% (4 of 8)</p><p></p><p><strong>Rushing - Edge GB</strong></p><p></p><p>SEA Yards Per Carry: 4.8</p><p>GB Yards Per Carry Against: 4.5</p><p></p><p>GB Yards Per Carry: 5.2</p><p>SEA Yards Per Carry Against: 5.0</p><p></p><p>SEA First Downs Rushing: 72 on 288 carries, 25%</p><p>GB First Downs Rushing Against: 57 on 242 carries, 24%</p><p></p><p>GB First Downs Rushing: 62 on 201 carries, 31%</p><p>SEA First Downs Rushing Against: 57 on 2013 carries 27%</p><p></p><p><strong>Penalties - Edge SEA</strong></p><p></p><p>GB net penalty yards per game: -29 (last in the league)</p><p>SEA net penalty yards per game: -4</p><p></p><p>GB net penalty first downs per game: -1.3</p><p>NE net penalty first downs per game: +0.3</p><p></p><p><strong>Likely Key Inactives - Edge SEA</strong></p><p><strong></strong></p><p>SEA - K.J. Wright</p><p>GB - Brice, Cobb, King and Perry did not travel with the team</p><p></p><p><strong>Football Outsiders Special Teams Rankings - Edge SEA</strong></p><p><strong></strong></p><p>GB 24th.</p><p>SEA 11th.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 800193"] [B][SIZE=6]Matchup Stats[/SIZE] [/B] I'll put the conclusion up front this time with a couple of additional categories (injuries and special teams) added since last time. The betting line is Seattle -2.5 which would make the Packers -0.5 on a neutral field. I believe that line understates the Seattle advantage. I have them down for home field (-3), red zone (-3) and a net edge in other categories. I'd put Seattle at -8. The Packers 0-4 road record reinforces that picture. A Green Bay upset would be a major accomplishment and another must win for momentum going into Minnesota. [B]Passer Rating - Edge SEA[/B] Wilson Passer Rating: 110.2 (incl. 5 INTs) GB Passer Rating Against: 92.9 (incl. 6 INTs) Rodgers Passer Rating: 100.0 (incl. 1 INT) SEA Passer Rating Against: 88.7 (incl. 10 INTs) [B]Sacks - Edge GB[/B] Wilson Sacked: 29 GB Sacks: 31 Rodgers Sacked: 24 SEA Sacks: 23 [B]Fumbles - Edge SEA[/B] SEA Lost Fumbles: 3 GB Recovered Fumbles: 5 GB Lost Fumbles: 9 SEA Recovered Fumbles: 6 [B]Red Zone TDs - Edge SEA[/B] SEA Red Zone TD%: 73% GB Red Zone TD% Against: 55% GB Red Zone TD%: 60% SEA Red Zone TD% Against: 59% [B]21+ yard TDs - Slight Edge GB[/B] SEA 21+ yard TD scores: 7 (7 pass) GB 21+ yard TDs against: 8 (7 pass, 1 pick six) GB 21+ yard TD scores: 6 (5 pass, 1 run) *SEA 21+ yard TDs against: 8 (5 pass, 1 run, 2 pick 6) * Lockett accounts for 4 TD receptions from outside the red zone to go with 3 in the red zone. That should be an Alexander match-up all day. [B]3rd. and 4th. Down Conversions - Push[/B] SEA 3rd. Down Conversions: 38% GB 3rd. Down Conversions Against: 37% GB 3rd. Down Conversions: 40% SEA 3rd. Down Conversions Against: 37% GB 4th. Down Coversions: 36% (4 of 11) SEA 4th. Down Conversions Against: 60% (3 of 5) SEA 4th. Down Coversions: 63% (5 of 8) GB 4th. Down Conversions Against: 50% (4 of 8) [B]Rushing - Edge GB[/B] SEA Yards Per Carry: 4.8 GB Yards Per Carry Against: 4.5 GB Yards Per Carry: 5.2 SEA Yards Per Carry Against: 5.0 SEA First Downs Rushing: 72 on 288 carries, 25% GB First Downs Rushing Against: 57 on 242 carries, 24% GB First Downs Rushing: 62 on 201 carries, 31% SEA First Downs Rushing Against: 57 on 2013 carries 27% [B]Penalties - Edge SEA[/B] GB net penalty yards per game: -29 (last in the league) SEA net penalty yards per game: -4 GB net penalty first downs per game: -1.3 NE net penalty first downs per game: +0.3 [B]Likely Key Inactives - Edge SEA [/B] SEA - K.J. Wright GB - Brice, Cobb, King and Perry did not travel with the team [B]Football Outsiders Special Teams Rankings - Edge SEA [/B] GB 24th. SEA 11th. [/QUOTE]
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