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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 835989"><p>That's interesting; 197 out of 986 offensive snaps = 20.0% of snaps. That's a lot in today's game.</p><p></p><p>This may explain why Vitale is on the roster while the Titans did not carry a FB. Or maybe not, as I work my way to the conclusion of this post. As a starting point we can say none of the top 4 TEs on the current Packer roster are a good fit for the lead back role, or at least have not demonstrated that yet. But how much is LaFleur married to those 2-back sets? Consider the following:</p><p></p><p>It is said that LaFleur likes to use a lot of 2 TE sets. The Tennessee snap counts bear that out. The above 5 guys totaled 1,501 offensive snaps, a 152% snap count, which suggests 2 TEs half the time, less any 3 TE short yardage sets, with something like 40% of the 2 TE sets including an H-back in the backfield. That's a lot of TEs in today's game.</p><p></p><p>However, what is also interesting is that LaFleur did not transport this heavy TE/2-back approach from the Rams as some kind of McVay clone.</p><p></p><p>Rams 2017: 1224 TE offensive snaps out of 1039 total offensive snaps = 118% TE offensive snaps</p><p>Rams 2018: 1208 TE offensive snaps out of 1100 total offensive snaps = 110% TE offensive snaps</p><p>Packers 2018: 1368 TE offensive snaps out of 1075 total offensive snaps = 127% TE offensive snaps</p><p></p><p>So, by way of comparison, McCarthy's offense last season used 2 TEs more than has been McVay's habit. That may not be too suprising given Graham played primarily slot receiver. On the other hand, LaFleur went with a heavy dose of ground and pound with multiple TEs with a decent dose of throw-deep. We would not put that tag on the Rams offense.</p><p></p><p>Further, out of all those Tennessee 1501 TE snaps, those 5 guys together saw only 81 targets, so they were not out there as receiving threats. So what gives? Why did LaFleur depart from his recent Rams provenance?</p><p></p><p>I would suggest that LaFleur simply adapted to the personnel on hand in Tennessee last season. Mariota is not to be confused with an above average starting NFL passer, at least no yet. Dismal Blaine Gabbert had 3 starts. It's kind of weird Gabbert got the start over Mariotta in one game. The top 3 WRs on that team were Corey Davis, Taywan Taylor and Tajae Sharp, a bunch of second year guys would would not have struck fear in anybody's heart.</p><p></p><p>Aaron Rodgers is not Marcus Mariota. DaVante Adams is not Cory Davis. Jimmy Graham, even in decline, is not Luke Stocker as a receiver. How do the rest of the Packers WRs stack up against Taylor and Sharp? Pretty good I'd say.</p><p></p><p>So why 5 TEs and a FB on the roster, while claiming a 6th. off waivers even if he was intended to be a replacement for McKever?</p><p></p><p>LaFleur's Tennessee record shows he is not a dogmatic adherent to the McVay approach. Or maybe McVay would not be dogmatic either if the Rams had the offensive talent in Tennessee last season.</p><p></p><p>In short, given LaFleur's lack of dogmatism, I would make no assumptions about what the Packers offensive personnel mixes will look like this season. I would not assume a lot of 2 TE sets or a lot of 2-back sets with a FB or an H-back. It could look more like the Rams personnel mix. The evidence suggests that in the process of making the lemonade, LaFleur will attempt to minimize the lemons and maximize the sugar wherever he finds it.</p><p></p><p>Why lots of TEs and a FB currently? I would say it is to leave options open as he sorts out the lemons from the sugar in camp and preseason. The evidence of lack of dogmatism is a point of optimism in my book.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 835989"] That's interesting; 197 out of 986 offensive snaps = 20.0% of snaps. That's a lot in today's game. This may explain why Vitale is on the roster while the Titans did not carry a FB. Or maybe not, as I work my way to the conclusion of this post. As a starting point we can say none of the top 4 TEs on the current Packer roster are a good fit for the lead back role, or at least have not demonstrated that yet. But how much is LaFleur married to those 2-back sets? Consider the following: It is said that LaFleur likes to use a lot of 2 TE sets. The Tennessee snap counts bear that out. The above 5 guys totaled 1,501 offensive snaps, a 152% snap count, which suggests 2 TEs half the time, less any 3 TE short yardage sets, with something like 40% of the 2 TE sets including an H-back in the backfield. That's a lot of TEs in today's game. However, what is also interesting is that LaFleur did not transport this heavy TE/2-back approach from the Rams as some kind of McVay clone. Rams 2017: 1224 TE offensive snaps out of 1039 total offensive snaps = 118% TE offensive snaps Rams 2018: 1208 TE offensive snaps out of 1100 total offensive snaps = 110% TE offensive snaps Packers 2018: 1368 TE offensive snaps out of 1075 total offensive snaps = 127% TE offensive snaps So, by way of comparison, McCarthy's offense last season used 2 TEs more than has been McVay's habit. That may not be too suprising given Graham played primarily slot receiver. On the other hand, LaFleur went with a heavy dose of ground and pound with multiple TEs with a decent dose of throw-deep. We would not put that tag on the Rams offense. Further, out of all those Tennessee 1501 TE snaps, those 5 guys together saw only 81 targets, so they were not out there as receiving threats. So what gives? Why did LaFleur depart from his recent Rams provenance? I would suggest that LaFleur simply adapted to the personnel on hand in Tennessee last season. Mariota is not to be confused with an above average starting NFL passer, at least no yet. Dismal Blaine Gabbert had 3 starts. It's kind of weird Gabbert got the start over Mariotta in one game. The top 3 WRs on that team were Corey Davis, Taywan Taylor and Tajae Sharp, a bunch of second year guys would would not have struck fear in anybody's heart. Aaron Rodgers is not Marcus Mariota. DaVante Adams is not Cory Davis. Jimmy Graham, even in decline, is not Luke Stocker as a receiver. How do the rest of the Packers WRs stack up against Taylor and Sharp? Pretty good I'd say. So why 5 TEs and a FB on the roster, while claiming a 6th. off waivers even if he was intended to be a replacement for McKever? LaFleur's Tennessee record shows he is not a dogmatic adherent to the McVay approach. Or maybe McVay would not be dogmatic either if the Rams had the offensive talent in Tennessee last season. In short, given LaFleur's lack of dogmatism, I would make no assumptions about what the Packers offensive personnel mixes will look like this season. I would not assume a lot of 2 TE sets or a lot of 2-back sets with a FB or an H-back. It could look more like the Rams personnel mix. The evidence suggests that in the process of making the lemonade, LaFleur will attempt to minimize the lemons and maximize the sugar wherever he finds it. Why lots of TEs and a FB currently? I would say it is to leave options open as he sorts out the lemons from the sugar in camp and preseason. The evidence of lack of dogmatism is a point of optimism in my book. [/QUOTE]
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