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Thoughts on the 2021 Draft League-Wide
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<blockquote data-quote="Dantés" data-source="post: 907731" data-attributes="member: 12283"><p>I think they entered the draft space hoping that their grading system would prove effective at projecting success from the college to the pro game. But it wasn't. Or, I should say, it wasn't more effective than what already existed. </p><p></p><p>And this should only make sense. PFF has risen to prominence essentially by answering the question of "what happened?" on a football field. But the draft isn't about "what happened," it's about "what will happen?" And the answer to that question is multi-factorial-- it deals with traits, talent, health, character, landing spot, etc, in addition to college production (which is essentially the only part that PFF uniquely measures). </p><p></p><p>So they went from their early draft boards featuring a lot of outlier picks that virtually all bombed (e.g. in 2018, they ranked Maurice Hurst #3, Josh Jackson #8, Connor Williams #18, James Washington #24, Mason Rudolph #25...), to now being much closer to consensus, and using their own grades less and less to project college players. For instance, I saw that they graded Eric Stokes as the best corner in football in man coverage over the course of his career. And yet they ranked him #72 on their board, and deemed his selection a big reach-- presumably because Renner didn't personally like his tape? </p><p></p><p>So now Renner and their other draft people with PFF are basically like Dane Brugler, Ben Solak, or any other draft analyst in the media.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Dantés, post: 907731, member: 12283"] I think they entered the draft space hoping that their grading system would prove effective at projecting success from the college to the pro game. But it wasn't. Or, I should say, it wasn't more effective than what already existed. And this should only make sense. PFF has risen to prominence essentially by answering the question of "what happened?" on a football field. But the draft isn't about "what happened," it's about "what will happen?" And the answer to that question is multi-factorial-- it deals with traits, talent, health, character, landing spot, etc, in addition to college production (which is essentially the only part that PFF uniquely measures). So they went from their early draft boards featuring a lot of outlier picks that virtually all bombed (e.g. in 2018, they ranked Maurice Hurst #3, Josh Jackson #8, Connor Williams #18, James Washington #24, Mason Rudolph #25...), to now being much closer to consensus, and using their own grades less and less to project college players. For instance, I saw that they graded Eric Stokes as the best corner in football in man coverage over the course of his career. And yet they ranked him #72 on their board, and deemed his selection a big reach-- presumably because Renner didn't personally like his tape? So now Renner and their other draft people with PFF are basically like Dane Brugler, Ben Solak, or any other draft analyst in the media. [/QUOTE]
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