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The Value of Run Defense
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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 877856"><p>For what it is worth, two of those games were for a suspension. When it comes to injuries you have to heavily weight the recent over the past in terms of risk. The fact he had a terrific 2019 playing 16 games would indicate there are no residual affects from the earlier knee sprains. </p><p></p><p>Be that as it may, 25 touches per game gets you to 400 for the season plus playoffs. In NFL history, only 44 players reached that regular season mark. Only three players in the last decade achieved it, Murray, Bell and McCaffrey.</p><p></p><p><a href="https://www.pro-football-reference.com/leaders/touches_single_season.htm" target="_blank">https://www.pro-football-reference.com/leaders/touches_single_season.htm</a></p><p></p><p>There are a small handful of HOF RBs who took that licking and kept on ticking. In most cases, there was a fall off in performance the following season, or worse, even without an injury involved. Murray had a big fall off the following season after he got his second contract. The appeal of a year's sabatical might have been a factor in Bell's holdout after his 400 touch season. McCaffrey? We'll see, if there's a full season, though his biz is weighted toward catches which helps. </p><p></p><p>It's not just the physical toll. There's a mental toll in getting beat on over and over, week after week.</p><p></p><p>Hypothetically, if Jones were to be given that work load, even as high as 350 with a heavy dose of running (where the real beatings take place) vs. receiving, I don't know if it would result in a poor season but there's a good chance it would lead to a poor 2021 and might shorten his career. I suppose it is possible they'd give him that load, if highly unlikely particularly with the Dillon pick. If the Packers had no intention of re-signing him while he's balling out for the second contract that heavy load might work out for the one year.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 877856"] For what it is worth, two of those games were for a suspension. When it comes to injuries you have to heavily weight the recent over the past in terms of risk. The fact he had a terrific 2019 playing 16 games would indicate there are no residual affects from the earlier knee sprains. Be that as it may, 25 touches per game gets you to 400 for the season plus playoffs. In NFL history, only 44 players reached that regular season mark. Only three players in the last decade achieved it, Murray, Bell and McCaffrey. [URL]https://www.pro-football-reference.com/leaders/touches_single_season.htm[/URL] There are a small handful of HOF RBs who took that licking and kept on ticking. In most cases, there was a fall off in performance the following season, or worse, even without an injury involved. Murray had a big fall off the following season after he got his second contract. The appeal of a year's sabatical might have been a factor in Bell's holdout after his 400 touch season. McCaffrey? We'll see, if there's a full season, though his biz is weighted toward catches which helps. It's not just the physical toll. There's a mental toll in getting beat on over and over, week after week. Hypothetically, if Jones were to be given that work load, even as high as 350 with a heavy dose of running (where the real beatings take place) vs. receiving, I don't know if it would result in a poor season but there's a good chance it would lead to a poor 2021 and might shorten his career. I suppose it is possible they'd give him that load, if highly unlikely particularly with the Dillon pick. If the Packers had no intention of re-signing him while he's balling out for the second contract that heavy load might work out for the one year. [/QUOTE]
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