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Message: <blockquote data-quote="OldSchool101" data-source="post: 876644" data-attributes="member: 10086">Funny you say that. Someone in 2010 went round n round with your exact same logic, only difference is it was actually a Falcons fan that year, discounting the GBP who were going into the playoffs at 10-6 and a 6th seed. But who also had one of the most difficult Strength of Opponent schedules ratio at seasons end. The result? 4-0 on the Road (including just murdering the Falcons in Atlanta!) this and 1 neutral win for a Lombardi.That said, It’s only one of many measuring sticks but it’s actually logical and it’s been consistently successful every season I’ve tracked it (with few anomalies) The key there I see people making mistakes with (including NFL experts) is using the previous year data or an early season data as a predictor.  It’s common sense that you use current season and weight it more the closer you get to the playoffs and that’s far more logical because it uses real time data, which in turn accounts for the thousands of variables that change as the season progresses. Who cares who Chicago played last year when its December of this year etc..</blockquote>

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