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The Value of Run Defense
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<blockquote data-quote="Dantés" data-source="post: 876437" data-attributes="member: 12283"><p>If you like DVOA, then I'm surprised to read the part in bold. Last year...</p><p></p><p>SF:</p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Overall: 7.2 (7th)</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Pass: 24.2 (8th)</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Rush: -0.3 (12th)</li> </ul><p>GB:</p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Overall: 6.5 (8th)</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Pass: 17.3 (11th)</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Rush: 8.2 (4th)</li> </ul><p>Now don't get me wrong. I like DVOA as a helpful metric, but I don't think it's definitive. So don't take this as me saying that SF and GB basically were comparable on offense last year. But if you value the metric, then saying that it would be shocking for them to even <em>approach </em>that level in the next 1-2 years seems odd when their overall offensive DVOA were separated by .7 of one point and one place in the rankings. </p><p></p><p>The point about the Bucs is a mistake I think. The passing efficiency of SF and GB were separated by 6.9 points, while the Bucs were 12.2 points behind GB. </p><p></p><p>No argument on need for players who excel after the catch. I've been saying that all off-season. The one thing I would say, however, is that while the Niners have YAC threats and the Packers do not, the Packers have personnel advantages of their own. Between the two rosters, the best players at QB, WR, and RB all play for the Packers.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Dantés, post: 876437, member: 12283"] If you like DVOA, then I'm surprised to read the part in bold. Last year... SF: [LIST] [*]Overall: 7.2 (7th) [*]Pass: 24.2 (8th) [*]Rush: -0.3 (12th) [/LIST] GB: [LIST] [*]Overall: 6.5 (8th) [*]Pass: 17.3 (11th) [*]Rush: 8.2 (4th) [/LIST] Now don't get me wrong. I like DVOA as a helpful metric, but I don't think it's definitive. So don't take this as me saying that SF and GB basically were comparable on offense last year. But if you value the metric, then saying that it would be shocking for them to even [I]approach [/I]that level in the next 1-2 years seems odd when their overall offensive DVOA were separated by .7 of one point and one place in the rankings. The point about the Bucs is a mistake I think. The passing efficiency of SF and GB were separated by 6.9 points, while the Bucs were 12.2 points behind GB. No argument on need for players who excel after the catch. I've been saying that all off-season. The one thing I would say, however, is that while the Niners have YAC threats and the Packers do not, the Packers have personnel advantages of their own. Between the two rosters, the best players at QB, WR, and RB all play for the Packers. [/QUOTE]
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