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The offense must run through Jones and Dillon
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<blockquote data-quote="OldSchool101" data-source="post: 1001450" data-attributes="member: 10086"><p>I meant touches not snaps.</p><p>Last season, Aaron Jones combined Yards/Touch at 5.6 was exactly his average. He floats between 5.2 and 5.9 per touch. I also don’t see Defenses altering that much as it’s a very stable number. The 5.2 was a Rookie season. I think he’ll float between 5-6 yards per Touch again this season imo.</p><p></p><p>So with that said, I don’t think it’s incomprehensible that Jones gets a higher carry/rec Load. If that happens it’s unlikely his total production drops.</p><p>295 touches X 5.7 per is 1,681 yards and a very doable number in a season where he is our most experienced Offensive weapon. Even if Aaron regresses 100 yards in rushing he’s still very productive. -100 yards lost in the run can be made up with just 12 catches at 8.5 per over 17 contests.</p><p></p><p>As far as Dillon? He’s 4.9 per touch career and I think he’ll be in that 5-5.5 per touch in 2023. Dillon stands to get the biggest % Increase. His workload floats around 220 touches. An increase of just 35 touches at 5.1 is +182 yards increase (2 touches per game). I’m being generous as I think he’ll easily exceed 250 Touches</p><p></p><p>The result is 2,739 (I said ~2,750) combined yards total and I didn’t back into that #. Keep in mind we often focus on the run game. That’s not necessarily the only way to get production. Per touch means run + pass. Those numbers would not only exceed last years totals, they’d move this RB1-2 combo into elite classification leaguewide and historically. That’s just a 10% increase across all phases and it’s totally doable (15 yards <strong>per contest </strong>combined or ~3 touches combined). It sounds daunting when you see the totals, but it’s a very, very achievable goal. I’ll try to remember to track 2023 and see where we compare to 2022. These 2 guys are very underrated and with just a little more emphasis they could be historically good.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="OldSchool101, post: 1001450, member: 10086"] I meant touches not snaps. Last season, Aaron Jones combined Yards/Touch at 5.6 was exactly his average. He floats between 5.2 and 5.9 per touch. I also don’t see Defenses altering that much as it’s a very stable number. The 5.2 was a Rookie season. I think he’ll float between 5-6 yards per Touch again this season imo. So with that said, I don’t think it’s incomprehensible that Jones gets a higher carry/rec Load. If that happens it’s unlikely his total production drops. 295 touches X 5.7 per is 1,681 yards and a very doable number in a season where he is our most experienced Offensive weapon. Even if Aaron regresses 100 yards in rushing he’s still very productive. -100 yards lost in the run can be made up with just 12 catches at 8.5 per over 17 contests. As far as Dillon? He’s 4.9 per touch career and I think he’ll be in that 5-5.5 per touch in 2023. Dillon stands to get the biggest % Increase. His workload floats around 220 touches. An increase of just 35 touches at 5.1 is +182 yards increase (2 touches per game). I’m being generous as I think he’ll easily exceed 250 Touches The result is 2,739 (I said ~2,750) combined yards total and I didn’t back into that #. Keep in mind we often focus on the run game. That’s not necessarily the only way to get production. Per touch means run + pass. Those numbers would not only exceed last years totals, they’d move this RB1-2 combo into elite classification leaguewide and historically. That’s just a 10% increase across all phases and it’s totally doable (15 yards [B]per contest [/B]combined or ~3 touches combined). It sounds daunting when you see the totals, but it’s a very, very achievable goal. I’ll try to remember to track 2023 and see where we compare to 2022. These 2 guys are very underrated and with just a little more emphasis they could be historically good. [/QUOTE]
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The offense must run through Jones and Dillon
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