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The Jordan Love Era Begins
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<blockquote data-quote="Magooch" data-source="post: 1012801" data-attributes="member: 17987"><p>Change does happen, to be sure, but at the same time these examples are by far the exception, not the rule.</p><p>Yes, change does happen “quite often” from year one to year two (or first year starting to second, as it were) but it is not at all often that we see a player go from a bottom third quarterback to an elite, franchise-cornerstone type of one. Statistically speaking it is extremely unlikely that Love (or ANY new QB) will ever develop into a Rodgers or Manning level one, even a Hurts or Lawrence type of guy. Simple math tells us that the majority will not even be above average (that is how “average” works, after all, lol). </p><p></p><p>So yes, it could happen, and I’m sure we are all hoping that’s the case, but pointing to guys like Josh Allen in his first year or Hurts or Lawrence or Rodgers or whoever and saying “it could happen for Love too” is not really any argument at all. For every QB who has a rough first season and goes on to become an all-pro MVP candidate, there are dozens upon dozens who amount to being average at best. That is simply the most common outcome. </p><p></p><p>Of course that is also not evidence to the contrary and in no way suggests that we should already be looking to move on or that Love is a guaranteed flop. Like I said we should all be hoping he ends up being one of the few “exceptions” rather than the “rule”. There’s nothing wrong with hoping for that, but when someone says something about Love struggling and our rebuttal is something like “well Peyton Manning threw a lot of interceptions his first year, what if he got cut?” or whatever… it’s not any argument whatsoever. Love’s development is absolutely 100% in no way influenced by any of those players and the simple math of it tells us that while it is technically *possible* he ends up developing that way it is not at all *probable*.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Magooch, post: 1012801, member: 17987"] Change does happen, to be sure, but at the same time these examples are by far the exception, not the rule. Yes, change does happen “quite often” from year one to year two (or first year starting to second, as it were) but it is not at all often that we see a player go from a bottom third quarterback to an elite, franchise-cornerstone type of one. Statistically speaking it is extremely unlikely that Love (or ANY new QB) will ever develop into a Rodgers or Manning level one, even a Hurts or Lawrence type of guy. Simple math tells us that the majority will not even be above average (that is how “average” works, after all, lol). So yes, it could happen, and I’m sure we are all hoping that’s the case, but pointing to guys like Josh Allen in his first year or Hurts or Lawrence or Rodgers or whoever and saying “it could happen for Love too” is not really any argument at all. For every QB who has a rough first season and goes on to become an all-pro MVP candidate, there are dozens upon dozens who amount to being average at best. That is simply the most common outcome. Of course that is also not evidence to the contrary and in no way suggests that we should already be looking to move on or that Love is a guaranteed flop. Like I said we should all be hoping he ends up being one of the few “exceptions” rather than the “rule”. There’s nothing wrong with hoping for that, but when someone says something about Love struggling and our rebuttal is something like “well Peyton Manning threw a lot of interceptions his first year, what if he got cut?” or whatever… it’s not any argument whatsoever. Love’s development is absolutely 100% in no way influenced by any of those players and the simple math of it tells us that while it is technically *possible* he ends up developing that way it is not at all *probable*. [/QUOTE]
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