Forums
New posts
Search forums
What's new
New posts
New media
New media comments
New resources
Latest activity
Media
New media
New comments
Search media
Resources
Latest reviews
Search resources
Members
Current visitors
Log in
Register
What's new
Search
Search
Search titles only
By:
New posts
Search forums
Menu
Log in
Register
Install the app
Install
Forums
Open Football Discussion
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
Teams that can help us get a higher draft pick
JavaScript is disabled. For a better experience, please enable JavaScript in your browser before proceeding.
You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an
alternative browser
.
Reply to thread
Message
<blockquote data-quote="sschind" data-source="post: 753787" data-attributes="member: 10247"><p>For the most part I agree with you. I'm not sure I would say its a myth that has been debunked but you are right. When you look at individual players there will always be the early round busts and late round gems as you say but in general, the higher you pick the better your chances are at getting the better player. It may be easier to see it if instead of looking at it as getting the "better" player you look at it from the standpoint of getting your choice of players. Since no one really knows how any college player is going to perform in the NFL your chances of getting one who does well increases with the more players you have to choose from. </p><p></p><p>Obviously, with the draft order determined by the previous years finish, everyone would rather have the #32 pick than the #1. But if you take the previous years finish out if the equation everyone would want the #1 pick. Why, because you get to take any player you want. Of course you still have to choose the right one.</p><p></p><p>One thing we always see when it comes to draft analysis is "we could have taken this player instead of that one" Usually "this" player is having a much better career than "that" one. What you rarely see is this sort of draft evaluation. In 2012 the Packers had the #28 pick and we chose Nick Perry. Now he has had an OK career thus far but lets look at who we could have had if we had lost a few more game and moved up 10 spots in the draft. Now we are sitting at #18 and we could have taken Melvin Ingram. I'm not sure but I don't think there is anyone who would not trade Nick Perry for Melvin Ingram at this point. But, care to take a guess at who else we MAY have picked at #18? The guy who was taken at #19 by the Chicago Bears. Shea McClellin. Yeah, the guy who, before Anthony Barr, may have been the most hated opposing player in the league. In case you don't know he is the guy who put the hit on Aaron Rodgers and broke his collarbone in 2013 and for the most part that is all he will be remembered for.</p><p></p><p>So yeah, moving up in the draft may increase your odds of getting a better player but if you don't choose the right guy your odds of getting one of those other guys goes up as well. That is why I would simply prefer the wins this year and let next years draft chips fall where they may.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="sschind, post: 753787, member: 10247"] For the most part I agree with you. I'm not sure I would say its a myth that has been debunked but you are right. When you look at individual players there will always be the early round busts and late round gems as you say but in general, the higher you pick the better your chances are at getting the better player. It may be easier to see it if instead of looking at it as getting the "better" player you look at it from the standpoint of getting your choice of players. Since no one really knows how any college player is going to perform in the NFL your chances of getting one who does well increases with the more players you have to choose from. Obviously, with the draft order determined by the previous years finish, everyone would rather have the #32 pick than the #1. But if you take the previous years finish out if the equation everyone would want the #1 pick. Why, because you get to take any player you want. Of course you still have to choose the right one. One thing we always see when it comes to draft analysis is "we could have taken this player instead of that one" Usually "this" player is having a much better career than "that" one. What you rarely see is this sort of draft evaluation. In 2012 the Packers had the #28 pick and we chose Nick Perry. Now he has had an OK career thus far but lets look at who we could have had if we had lost a few more game and moved up 10 spots in the draft. Now we are sitting at #18 and we could have taken Melvin Ingram. I'm not sure but I don't think there is anyone who would not trade Nick Perry for Melvin Ingram at this point. But, care to take a guess at who else we MAY have picked at #18? The guy who was taken at #19 by the Chicago Bears. Shea McClellin. Yeah, the guy who, before Anthony Barr, may have been the most hated opposing player in the league. In case you don't know he is the guy who put the hit on Aaron Rodgers and broke his collarbone in 2013 and for the most part that is all he will be remembered for. So yeah, moving up in the draft may increase your odds of getting a better player but if you don't choose the right guy your odds of getting one of those other guys goes up as well. That is why I would simply prefer the wins this year and let next years draft chips fall where they may. [/QUOTE]
Insert quotes…
Verification
Post reply
Members online
Green_Bay_Packers
Latest posts
2024 draft discussion thread
Latest: Thirteen Below
Today at 12:58 AM
Draft Talk
2024 Packer UDFA Tracker....
Latest: Pokerbrat2000
Yesterday at 10:55 PM
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
2024 3rd round #88 MarShawn Lloyd RB
Latest: Poppa San
Yesterday at 10:38 PM
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
R
2024 2nd Rd pick #58 Javon Bullard S
Latest: RicFlairoftheNFL
Yesterday at 10:05 PM
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
2024 Round 7, pick 245: Michael Pratt, QB
Latest: Thirteen Below
Yesterday at 10:04 PM
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
Forums
Open Football Discussion
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
Teams that can help us get a higher draft pick
This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.
Accept
Learn more…
Top