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Super Bowl Odds

Discussion in 'Packer Fan Forum' started by FrankRizzo, May 6, 2012.

  1. FrankRizzo

    FrankRizzo Cheesehead

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    Just thought it would be interesting to show you all what the National Wagering Books look like as far as who they believe are the top Super Bowl Contenders. From Bovada, this is their odds to win this season's Super Bowl. Funny how low they have the champion Giants!

    Saturday, May 12, 2012

    Odds to win the 2013 Super Bowl XLVII


    Green Bay Packers
    13/2

    New England Patriots
    8/1

    San Francisco 49ers
    10/1

    Denver Broncos
    12/1

    Houston Texans
    12/1

    Philadelphia Eagles
    14/1

    Baltimore Ravens
    16/1

    New York Giants
    16/1

    New Orleans Saints
    18/1

    Chicago Bears
    20/1

    Dallas Cowboys
    20/1

    Pittsburgh Steelers
    20/1

    Atlanta Falcons
    22/1

    San Diego Chargers
    22/1

    Detroit Lions
    25/1

    New York Jets
    25/1

    Carolina Panthers
    35/1

    Cincinnati Bengals
    40/1

    Arizona Cardinals
    50/1

    Buffalo Bills
    50/1

    Kansas City Chiefs
    50/1

    Miami Dolphins
    50/1

    Seattle Seahawks
    50/1

    Tennessee Titans
    50/1

    Washington Redskins
    50/1

    Oakland Raiders
    65/1

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    65/1

    St. Louis Rams
    75/1

    Indianapolis Colts
    100/1

    Minnesota Vikings
    100/1

    Cleveland Browns
    150/1

    Jacksonville Jaguars
    150/1
     
    • Informative Informative x 1
  2. ivo610

    ivo610 Cheesehead

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    Broncos shouldn't be that high, chargers shouldn't be that low
     
  3. NYG

    NYG Cheesehead

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    These odds are nothing more than guesses intended to motivate suckers to bet.

    Just think about it -- NYG added first rate talent at WR and RB, lost no one other than Ross and Goff (neither will be missed) from their defense and get back starting CB (Thomas) as well as last year's injured rook Austin -- and they are ranked behind the damn Eagles. Fooey!

    Jets at 25-1? I wouldn't take 75 -1 on those slugs, likely to go 6 and 10.

    Like I said -- these odds are meaningless.


    Want my guesses? SF will miss playoffs (combination of hubris and injuries), Denver will go deep in playoffs, NYG and Steelers will meet in the SB. Again, equally meaningless.
     
    • Disagree Disagree x 5
  4. FrankRizzo

    FrankRizzo Cheesehead

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    The Giants weren't anywhere close to being the best team in the league last year at any point, until things fell into place with them last playoff run. In fact, the Cowboys were one simple completion to a wide-open Miles Austin from winning that division and keeping the Giants home for the playoffs, probably causing the coach to be fired. They were that close to failing.

    Then they got us 48 hours after a devastating funeral following a horrible week with that punk, and we made more mental mistakes in 3 hours than we had in the past 35 games combined.

    And then one guy on the 49ers, twice, fumbles away punts to do his best imitation of Santa Claus and give the Giants the NFC Title.
    Oh, and the Giants didn't have to face the Saints, who own the Giants.

    So things just magically came together for them in one lucky run. It happens.
    How did the Giants do in 2008 coming off that 2007 magical carpet ride?

    The Giants are the champions, but Vegas sets odds like this based on overall talent, as well as how much money the betting public tends to put on them.

    Agree on the Jets having no chance.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  5. Jules

    Jules The Colts Fan

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    OH MY GOD. The Colts are NOT the worst.:D:tup:

    *sigh* Broncos I don't see that as a SB team (fluke team last year IMO) but people expect them to contend.

    They MIGHT make the playoffs but right now I am not sure I would even bet on that. I have a sneaky feeling the Chargers are due for another strong season again. And until proven otherwise they own Peyton. So does Crennel.

    NE/Pittsburgh/Houston are my AFC faves.

    Packers/NFC East garbage are my NFC faves.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  6. slaughter25

    slaughter25 Cheesehead

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    I think the giants have the talent to be right up there competing with every other Upper Echelon team in the NFC, so as much as I hate to say it and agree with NYG they are too low. Going to be a very very tight NFC race this year and therefore I think placing any sort of bet who will be representing the NFC in the superbowl is a huge gamble. I mean seriously there are easily 6 teams that could win 11+ games . (Packers Lions Bears Giants SF Eagles) and there are definitely some very strong teams I didn't throw on that list. When you have that kind of closeness of talent going into the playoffs its really anyone's game, and as we have seen the past two Superbowl winners got hot at the right time, and who knows who that dark-horse will be this year
     
  7. AmishMafia

    AmishMafia Cheesehead

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    I think the value bets here are Pittsburgh, Cleveland, and maybe Tampa. No, I don't give Cleveland much of a chance, but its much better than 150-1. $20 gets you $3k! As far as NYG go, don't they have a habit of not making the playoffs in the years after they win a SB?

    The worst bets - Broncos (the signing of Manning has boosted betters confidence) and Oakland (who I think will muster 2 or 3 wins max)
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  8. toolkien

    toolkien Cheesehead

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    The Giants didn't make the playoffs the two previous years, and wouldn't have made it last year if BOTH the Eagles and Cowboys hadn't shot themselves in the foot. The Giants had a negative point differential last year, gave up 400 points, and were 27th in yards given up (for those who are so depressed about the Packers' total given up). The Giants got a whole lotta luck in 2011 to get in, and then to have four superior teams ALL fade away in succession. In 2012 one has to suspect that one or the other between the Cowboys and Eagles will pull it back together, if not both, which puts the Giants back into the WC hunt with the Falcons/Saint (depending on how impacted the Saints end up being), Bears, Lions, Seattle for two spots. There's a pretty good chance the Giants don't even make the playoffs in 2012.
     
  9. mikeymidnight

    mikeymidnight Cheesehead

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    NY Giants were the best team last year and won SuperBowl. They went through Atlanta at Giants Stadium, dominated amd desteoyed the 15-1 Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field and then beat San Francisco 49ers at Candlestick in an NFC Chamlionship Gamr for the agea where Eli Manning turned in a legendary performance and played QB as well as it could be played against that ravenous defenae. Eli Manning then led NY Giants offenae to SuperBowl XLVI where we dominated TOP 38 minutes to 22 minutes keeping tje best QB in NFL off the field and emerged victorious against New England Patriots who are coached by perhaps the greatest coach in the history of NFL.

    I love it that NY Giants are underestimated again, it is kust how we like it.
    Eli's Coming and so are the rest of NY Giants to reoeat as SuperBowl Champions.

    I bELIeve.
     
    • Disagree Disagree x 2
  10. 13 Times Champs

    13 Times Champs Cheesehead

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    Odds are we will be in the fight...hopefully this time to the very end.

    And once again I won't accept the Philbin excuse for last years exit.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  11. I_am_smoked_cheddar

    I_am_smoked_cheddar Guest

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    jeff234.jpg
    Now here's a thread that needs another look !
     
    • Friendly Friendly x 1
  12. FrankRizzo

    FrankRizzo Cheesehead

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    Who do you guys expect we beat in this season's Super Bowl in New Orleans?

    Patriots
    Steelers
    Texans
    Ravens

    I can't imagine anyone else. Maybe Denver gets there with that good defense if Manning can be himself and make that offense great. I don't expect it, but he's truly great so who knows....
     
  13. DevilDon

    DevilDon Inclement Weather Fan

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    No surprise the Mafia has a good look at value bets! Still, odds represent the perception of the betting public as a whole. It's not as if one guy is figuring who's better or worse. The action is obviously on the Packers.
    And Frank.... though I never bet (or expect) on anything I don't personally have a hand in deciding I"m rooting for a Packer/Ravens SB for personal reasons.
     
  14. CheeseHead87

    CheeseHead87 Cheesehead

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    I think it'll be the Steelers again. They never seem to be out of it for very long. Although I can see the Pats making another run as well.

    Don't think the Texans have a real shot though. They lost a lot in free agency. And I don't think Flacco can make it to a Super Bowl.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  15. FrankRizzo

    FrankRizzo Cheesehead

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    I want to beat the Giants & Eagles in the playoffs the most. Can that happen, we get served both of those East Coast Hype teams on our path to beating another one, New England, in the Super Bowl?
    That would be perfect.
     
  16. FrankRizzo

    FrankRizzo Cheesehead

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    Who did they lost other than Mario, who was out all year anyway and their D was rated #1 without him.
     
  17. I_am_smoked_cheddar

    I_am_smoked_cheddar Guest

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    Frank, can you repeat your feat and post today's odds, It would make for an interesting comparison. ;)
     
  18. CheeseHead87

    CheeseHead87 Cheesehead

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    Winston, their best O-lineman, bolted to KC. Their star ILB DeMeco Ryans is on Philly now. Two cornerstone players.
     
  19. Raptorman

    Raptorman Vikings fan since 1966.

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  20. P-E-Z

    P-E-Z Cheesehead

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    I think the NFC comes down to the Packers, 49ers and Giants.... AFC Raven & Texans .... who is healthy at playoff time will determine who wins.
     
  21. FrankRizzo

    FrankRizzo Cheesehead

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    Philly & Chicago will be factors as well. And watch out for Atlanta, who was the #1 seed when we won the Super Bowl. Don't sleep on them.
     
  22. FrankRizzo

    FrankRizzo Cheesehead

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  23. Raptorman

    Raptorman Vikings fan since 1966.

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    Power rankings are good up until the first game is played. Not worth the bandwidth to post.
     
  24. FrankRizzo

    FrankRizzo Cheesehead

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    For the record, bet heavy $ on the Vikings winning under 6/6.5 games this year.
    I see 3 wins max for that club.
     
  25. TennMike

    TennMike Cheesehead

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    Based on strictly value (long odds that might have a chance), who do you take? I'm thinking Carolina at 35/1. I can't see anyone with worse odds having a chance.
     

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