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Message: <blockquote data-quote="Pokerbrat2000" data-source="post: 1054157" data-attributes="member: 7261">Here is my theory on "going for it on 4th down, instead of attempting a FG", outside the obvious situations at the end of the game.- If you have a solid "3rd and short" team, you want to view 4th downs with a lot more lean towards going for it.- If you are looking at 4th and 3 or more, look hard at your offense and their ability to pick up short yardage.- If you are facing a solid defense, think really hard.- Remember, even picking up the 1st down, doesn't guarantee you 7 points (unless its 4th and goal and you make it).- How sure of a FG kicker from that range do you have?I understand a lot of teams are now going by "analytics" to make their 4th down choices.  However, unless I am mistaken, those numbers aren't derived from the current offense and defense that is on the field that day.My personal viewpoint of the Packers going for it on 4th and 1+ yards....kick the damn FG.  They now have a solid FG kicker, its almost money inside the 45.  They don't have a solid history of play calling and execution of 3rd/4th and short.  Sunday was a game against a stingy defense, where points were needed and 3 is better than none.</blockquote>

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