Forums
New posts
Search forums
What's new
New posts
New media
New media comments
New resources
Latest activity
Media
New media
New comments
Search media
Resources
Latest reviews
Search resources
Members
Current visitors
Log in
Register
What's new
Search
Search
Search titles only
By:
New posts
Search forums
Menu
Log in
Register
Install the app
Install
Forums
Open Football Discussion
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
Draft Talk
Should TT trade out of first round?
JavaScript is disabled. For a better experience, please enable JavaScript in your browser before proceeding.
You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an
alternative browser
.
Reply to thread
Message
<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 720637"><p>A couple years back I did a run down on several recent first round trades (not including this one) relative to the antique Jimmy Johnson trade value chart:</p><p></p><p><a href="http://www.pro-football-reference.com/draft/draft_trade_value.htm" target="_blank">http://www.pro-football-reference.com/draft/draft_trade_value.htm</a></p><p></p><p>Of the ones I looked at, I believe the Sammy Watkins trade was the only one that strayed meaningfully from the chart, though that required an assumption about the worth of the following year's 1st. rounder they surrendered in trade.</p><p></p><p>One would have thought that the trade chart would have been made obsolete in 2011 with the rookie salary scale. That has not been the case, and this Patriots trade is yet another example:</p><p></p><p>Pats: 640</p><p>Vikes: 380 + 175 + 92 + 7 = 654</p><p></p><p>That 14 point differential is equivalent to the first pick in the 7th. round, which amounts to a rounding error.</p><p></p><p>So, using the Johnson chart, what might the Packers expect in a trade-down? Here are a few permutations:</p><p></p><p>1) Trade down to #40 (500 pts.) + the equivalent of the #90 pick toward the bottom of the 3rd. round.</p><p></p><p>2) Trade down to #45 (450 pts.) + the equivalent of the #80 pick in the middle of the 3rd. round.</p><p></p><p>3) Trade down to #50 (400 pts.) + the equivalent of the #70 pick toward the top of the 3rd. round.</p><p></p><p>On the one hand, there is not a lot to differentiate #29 from #50 other than need, scheme fit, and a dose of subjective projection. On the other hand, you'd need to be confident that one of the players targeted for 11 - 21 spots down the draft will still be there. You run the risk of ending up holding your d*ck.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 720637"] A couple years back I did a run down on several recent first round trades (not including this one) relative to the antique Jimmy Johnson trade value chart: [URL]http://www.pro-football-reference.com/draft/draft_trade_value.htm[/URL] Of the ones I looked at, I believe the Sammy Watkins trade was the only one that strayed meaningfully from the chart, though that required an assumption about the worth of the following year's 1st. rounder they surrendered in trade. One would have thought that the trade chart would have been made obsolete in 2011 with the rookie salary scale. That has not been the case, and this Patriots trade is yet another example: Pats: 640 Vikes: 380 + 175 + 92 + 7 = 654 That 14 point differential is equivalent to the first pick in the 7th. round, which amounts to a rounding error. So, using the Johnson chart, what might the Packers expect in a trade-down? Here are a few permutations: 1) Trade down to #40 (500 pts.) + the equivalent of the #90 pick toward the bottom of the 3rd. round. 2) Trade down to #45 (450 pts.) + the equivalent of the #80 pick in the middle of the 3rd. round. 3) Trade down to #50 (400 pts.) + the equivalent of the #70 pick toward the top of the 3rd. round. On the one hand, there is not a lot to differentiate #29 from #50 other than need, scheme fit, and a dose of subjective projection. On the other hand, you'd need to be confident that one of the players targeted for 11 - 21 spots down the draft will still be there. You run the risk of ending up holding your d*ck. [/QUOTE]
Insert quotes…
Verification
Post reply
Members online
Half Empty
tynimiller
DABIGZ
Latest posts
The Crew - 2026
Latest: weeds
Today at 5:31 AM
Milwaukee Brewers Forum
Why I Love The 2026-2027 Green Bay Packers
Latest: El Guapo
Yesterday at 10:50 PM
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
Josh Jacobs facing charges…
Latest: milani
Yesterday at 5:13 PM
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
Christian Watson signs a 4 year 110m extension
Latest: OldSchool101
Yesterday at 12:42 PM
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
Cam Achord new ST coach - Fire him
Latest: OldSchool101
Yesterday at 11:14 AM
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
Forums
Open Football Discussion
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
Draft Talk
Should TT trade out of first round?
This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.
Accept
Learn more…
Top
