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Rodgers and his teammates drops
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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 474312"><p>It's certainly an interesting question, with a lot of variables that would be impossible to pin down statistically. Besides receivers having good hands or bad hands, here are a few other factors:</p><p> </p><p>1. Some QBs throw the ball harder.</p><p>2. Some QBs throw a "heavier" ball...a ball that arrives with the nose slightly down from optimal. It's a bit more difficult to get your hands under a heavy ball. A heavy ball does not decelerate as much as a light ball as it reaches the receiver, and it tends to dive a bit rather than float like a light ball.</p><p>3. Some QBs throw more balls into situations where the ball is harder to catch. You mentioned one...throwing into a tight window where the receiver may not have a clean look at the ball all the way to his hands.</p><p>4. Some QBs make a better effort at protecting receivers. If you throw guys enough balls into situations where they take unprotected shots, you're then going to start seeing them drop some balls over the middle even if there's no hit. Bracing for a hit or keeping one eye out for a defender will buy some drops.</p><p> </p><p>As you suggest, managing throws to minimize drops can have negative consequences. Throwing a bullet on a short route before or at the break has the ball coming up on the receiver in big hurry. That can be a tough ball to catch. But if you wait for the receiver to swivel his head and/or take something off the throw, you're going to have some balls knocked down and picked.</p><p> </p><p>In general, throwing balls in places where INTs are minimized, while being a little more difficult to catch, earns you more drops, but on balance is a more winning formula. This probably explains why some elite QBs are toward the top of the list. Those guys also tend to have lower INT% numbers.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 474312"] It's certainly an interesting question, with a lot of variables that would be impossible to pin down statistically. Besides receivers having good hands or bad hands, here are a few other factors: 1. Some QBs throw the ball harder. 2. Some QBs throw a "heavier" ball...a ball that arrives with the nose slightly down from optimal. It's a bit more difficult to get your hands under a heavy ball. A heavy ball does not decelerate as much as a light ball as it reaches the receiver, and it tends to dive a bit rather than float like a light ball. 3. Some QBs throw more balls into situations where the ball is harder to catch. You mentioned one...throwing into a tight window where the receiver may not have a clean look at the ball all the way to his hands. 4. Some QBs make a better effort at protecting receivers. If you throw guys enough balls into situations where they take unprotected shots, you're then going to start seeing them drop some balls over the middle even if there's no hit. Bracing for a hit or keeping one eye out for a defender will buy some drops. As you suggest, managing throws to minimize drops can have negative consequences. Throwing a bullet on a short route before or at the break has the ball coming up on the receiver in big hurry. That can be a tough ball to catch. But if you wait for the receiver to swivel his head and/or take something off the throw, you're going to have some balls knocked down and picked. In general, throwing balls in places where INTs are minimized, while being a little more difficult to catch, earns you more drops, but on balance is a more winning formula. This probably explains why some elite QBs are toward the top of the list. Those guys also tend to have lower INT% numbers. [/QUOTE]
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