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Please stop saying, "It is hard to beat a team 3 times in a season"

Discussion in 'Green Bay Packers Fan Forum' started by adambr2, Jan 7, 2020.

  1. adambr2

    adambr2 Cheesehead

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    People have been misunderstanding this saying since the dawn of time. They take it to mean, that now, since we already beat the Vikings twice, we don't want to face them again, because hey, it's tough to beat a team 3 times in a season!

    The reason it is "tough" to beat a team 3 times in a season is 1) teams will very rarely meet 3 times in a season, and if they do, 2) there's at least a 50% chance that will have split their first two games, making it impossible for either to beat the other 3 times.

    Compare this to a 3 shot foul in basketball. It's hard to make all 3 free throws, right? That's what they say. But, if the shooter makes the first two and is a 75% free throw shooter, his chances of making the third are still 75%. Each event is independent. His chances don't go down for the third just because he made the first two.

    Given two already secured victories, when teams meet a third time, the 2-0 team, historically, also wins the 3rd match, at about a 70% success rate. This is obviously not a guarantee, but it is a very long ways from being the difficult task that everyone seems to think it is going into a third meeting.

    That is all.
     
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  2. AmishMafia

    AmishMafia Cheesehead

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    It is hard to beat a team 3 times in a season.

    (You said we shouldnt say it, but didnt mention typing)
     
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  3. Sky King

    Sky King 158.3

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    Is there some tortured logic going on here? Everyone is being politely implored not to mention you-know-what. Apparently, after the OP made the post the expectation was that nobody would then make any comments in support of the unsaid, unwanted opinion, except that the OP himself mentioned you-know-what and Amish echoed that digitally.

    SMH :tdown:...

    Time to close the thread?
     
  4. tynimiller

    tynimiller Cheesehead

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    All I know is "insert saying which should not be said"
     
  5. GreenNGold_81

    GreenNGold_81 Cheesehead

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    Was pretty tough to beat them in the 2004 season three times, in fact... we didn't. And lost to them in the playoffs while attempting to sweep them.
     
  6. Dantés

    Dantés Gute Loot

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    Please stop saying, "Please stop saying, 'It is hard to beat a team 3 times in a season.'"
     
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  7. El Guapo

    El Guapo Cheesehead

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    Alternate: It's hard to sweep a team over two games, but even harder to sweep a team over three games.
     
  8. tynimiller

    tynimiller Cheesehead

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    Or....


    It gets increasingly tougher with every game in a single season to finish a game with more points than the same team...especially hard in the final possible re-match within a single season with that same team.
     
  9. tynimiller

    tynimiller Cheesehead

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    I'll just say it...it is impossible to beat a team 4 times in a row in a single season for the Packers.
     
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  10. mongoosev

    mongoosev Cheesehead

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    lets just all agree it's easier to beat a team 3 times in one season than to get lucky with the wife two nights in a row.
     
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  11. swhitset

    swhitset Cheesehead

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    With all due respect, I’d posit... that you may be married to the wrong wife lol.
     
  12. mongoosev

    mongoosev Cheesehead

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    hah! think i have been saying that since I got married! just playin'. she is the best thing. HOWEVER, you'd think for staying married this long the rewards would be a better sex life. LOL
     
  13. adambr2

    adambr2 Cheesehead

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    Just because it has happened before does not make it the most likely of the scenarios. This is very simply statistics. Each event is independent of the others.

    In the 97-98 season, we beat Tampa 3 times. The 2-0 team has won 14 games and lost 7 in the 3rd matchup, that was 1 of the 7. That does not make it more likely.
     
  14. weeds

    weeds Fiber deprived old guy.

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    ...and I'd offer up the notion that they're all sisters. :whistling:
     
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  15. rmontro

    rmontro Cheesehead

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    It's hard to beat a team one time in a row.
     
  16. melvin dangerr

    melvin dangerr Cheesehead

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    In one season beating the same team 3x means we got their number, we got their address, we got the championship...
     
  17. Champagne

    Champagne Cheesehead

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    The Vikings will have a tough time in San Francisco against the 49ers.

    The Seahawks will play hard and I don't think that they will get blown out.

    But, if the choice is between playing the Vikings at home vs. the Packers flying to SF to play the 49ers, you've got to prefer the latter (obviously).
     
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  18. adambr2

    adambr2 Cheesehead

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    I have to assume you meant the former, not the latter.
     
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  19. Poppa San

    Poppa San Levelheaded Staff Member Moderator

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    didn't the Packers beat the Bears 4 times in one calendar year?
     
  20. KyraReppe5

    KyraReppe5 "We're going to relentlessly chase perfection."

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    I would rather take a chance at the team we went 2-0 against and out scored 44-26 than a team that beat us 8-37.
     
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  21. Curly Calhoun

    Curly Calhoun Cheesehead

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    Or maybe please stop saying "Please stop saying"

    I'm just saying.
     
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  22. longtimefan

    longtimefan Super Moderator Staff Member Super Moderator

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    What you trying to say
     
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  23. Mondio

    Mondio Cheesehead

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    well that didn't work
     
  24. adambr2

    adambr2 Cheesehead

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    The original thread title wasn't meant to be literal. Say what you will, it's your life.

    I was simply pointing out the falsehoods about an old tired cliche, to which we have all too many that get spun into urban legends and get people to think crazy things like we actually have a better chance of going into San Francisco and winning than beating Minnesota again at Lambeau.

    Didn't think it would get this far off the rails.
     
  25. tynimiller

    tynimiller Cheesehead

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    Don't ever say a thread has gotten off the rails.... LOL :)
     

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