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Packs, 1st rd filled with flops, follies by Mike Vandermaus
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<blockquote data-quote="all about da packers" data-source="post: 144811" data-attributes="member: 227"><p>I'm sorry but I'm not sure why Pro Bowls are the measuring stick of "success". I mean just look at Woodson last year, 8 INTs and an OUTSTANDING season, but he got snubbed. </p><p></p><p>It is quite possible that the first round picks played well, perhaps at times well enough to deserve a Pro Bowl birth, but didn't get it for whatever reason.</p><p></p><p>Or another explanation might be that they refused to go to the Pro Bowl (after getting an invitation) because let's face it: it is a joke. </p><p></p><p>Also, I would expect pretty bad rates of first round draft picks from the 70s and 80s, and perhaps to an extent the 90s. When you look at all the instruments available to GMs now, in terms of easier access in getting to college games due to better transportation, more access to video highlights, more access to background information (IE criminal history)... I think the discrepancy between the draft pick success rate in the 70s/80s/part of 90s is explainable. </p><p></p><p>I mean in the 70s and 80s, I'd imagine more and more GMs relying on their own opinions of players to judge them. In the 90s, you had more and more availability to other resources to get an opinion from.</p><p></p><p>Heck even recently, and I'm talking mid 90s here, we've seen an explosion in the amount of interest in the NFL draft; where every Tom, ****, and Harry have their mock drafts. What you have is a much broader range of opinion, and a greater range of nit picking players that may lead to some valid points and concerns being raised by someone about a player.</p><p></p><p>Finally, as cheesey said, I'd love to see the success rates of 1st round picks for other teams during the same time period. For the reasons above, I'm willing to bet that they were quite similar in terms of failure rates.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="all about da packers, post: 144811, member: 227"] I'm sorry but I'm not sure why Pro Bowls are the measuring stick of "success". I mean just look at Woodson last year, 8 INTs and an OUTSTANDING season, but he got snubbed. It is quite possible that the first round picks played well, perhaps at times well enough to deserve a Pro Bowl birth, but didn't get it for whatever reason. Or another explanation might be that they refused to go to the Pro Bowl (after getting an invitation) because let's face it: it is a joke. Also, I would expect pretty bad rates of first round draft picks from the 70s and 80s, and perhaps to an extent the 90s. When you look at all the instruments available to GMs now, in terms of easier access in getting to college games due to better transportation, more access to video highlights, more access to background information (IE criminal history)... I think the discrepancy between the draft pick success rate in the 70s/80s/part of 90s is explainable. I mean in the 70s and 80s, I'd imagine more and more GMs relying on their own opinions of players to judge them. In the 90s, you had more and more availability to other resources to get an opinion from. Heck even recently, and I'm talking mid 90s here, we've seen an explosion in the amount of interest in the NFL draft; where every Tom, ****, and Harry have their mock drafts. What you have is a much broader range of opinion, and a greater range of nit picking players that may lead to some valid points and concerns being raised by someone about a player. Finally, as cheesey said, I'd love to see the success rates of 1st round picks for other teams during the same time period. For the reasons above, I'm willing to bet that they were quite similar in terms of failure rates. [/QUOTE]
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Packs, 1st rd filled with flops, follies by Mike Vandermaus
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