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Packers value, and system for draft
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<blockquote data-quote="BigCheese" data-source="post: 832416" data-attributes="member: 10061"><p>In 2014, I was driving from Minneapolis to Milwaukee on draft night and listening to it on the radio. Bill Polian was one of the analysts for each team's pick. As each team walked their card up, he would predict who was being picked, and he was right on the money, in my estimate, 85% of the time. While I agree there may be "regular" people that can do this, I think it illustrates how much these guys actually know about player evaluation and how much the rest of us don't know. And the fact that his assessments line up so universally with 32 other GMs also shows just how difficult player evaluation is and how 50% right is like hitting fastballs in the National League for a living where 40% will get you in the Hal of Fame.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="BigCheese, post: 832416, member: 10061"] In 2014, I was driving from Minneapolis to Milwaukee on draft night and listening to it on the radio. Bill Polian was one of the analysts for each team's pick. As each team walked their card up, he would predict who was being picked, and he was right on the money, in my estimate, 85% of the time. While I agree there may be "regular" people that can do this, I think it illustrates how much these guys actually know about player evaluation and how much the rest of us don't know. And the fact that his assessments line up so universally with 32 other GMs also shows just how difficult player evaluation is and how 50% right is like hitting fastballs in the National League for a living where 40% will get you in the Hal of Fame. [/QUOTE]
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