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<blockquote data-quote="Sunshinepacker" data-source="post: 1066236" data-attributes="member: 9033"><p>Jordan Love might be a very good QB (I don't think he'll be top-5 but he's shown that he can certainly be a top-10 QB) but the ONLY other very good player that Gute has drafted in the first round was Jaire. That's it. Not counting last year's draft (Morgan) that's 8 first round picks and ONE of them was truly elite, another (Love) will probably be very good and the rest range from bad to above-average. He absolutely missed on Quay, Walker has not been a first round worthy player, Gary looked like he might be great but he fell back in a big way last season.You also ignore his second and third round performance. Those early round picks are where teams find the difference makers that turn the team from good to GREAT. Super Bowl winners are built on having elite players and the early rounds are predominately where those players are found.</p><p></p><p>Looking at Pro Football References Weighted Career Approximate Value ("WCAV"), not a perfect stat but good for this exercise, we can see how much value a player has provided a team over their career. If you then assign each draft slot the median WCAV for that draft slot going back to 1990, you can calculate whether a player drafted in their slot has performed relative to other players drafted in the exact same spot. Doing this for the 2019 -2023 draft classes (only looking at rounds 1-3) <strong>shows that Gute has been the sixth WORST</strong> at drafting valuable players with the selections that he has used.</p><p></p><p>So I did the research and the results are NOT what you seemed to believe. I'm sure someone somewhere will take issue with using facts to analyze Gute's early round draft performance but going off "vibes" to objectively evaluate the GM is a great way to not win a Super Bowl. As I said, he's top-10 in free agency but his draft performance is really holding this team back.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Sunshinepacker, post: 1066236, member: 9033"] Jordan Love might be a very good QB (I don't think he'll be top-5 but he's shown that he can certainly be a top-10 QB) but the ONLY other very good player that Gute has drafted in the first round was Jaire. That's it. Not counting last year's draft (Morgan) that's 8 first round picks and ONE of them was truly elite, another (Love) will probably be very good and the rest range from bad to above-average. He absolutely missed on Quay, Walker has not been a first round worthy player, Gary looked like he might be great but he fell back in a big way last season.You also ignore his second and third round performance. Those early round picks are where teams find the difference makers that turn the team from good to GREAT. Super Bowl winners are built on having elite players and the early rounds are predominately where those players are found. Looking at Pro Football References Weighted Career Approximate Value ("WCAV"), not a perfect stat but good for this exercise, we can see how much value a player has provided a team over their career. If you then assign each draft slot the median WCAV for that draft slot going back to 1990, you can calculate whether a player drafted in their slot has performed relative to other players drafted in the exact same spot. Doing this for the 2019 -2023 draft classes (only looking at rounds 1-3) [B]shows that Gute has been the sixth WORST[/B] at drafting valuable players with the selections that he has used. So I did the research and the results are NOT what you seemed to believe. I'm sure someone somewhere will take issue with using facts to analyze Gute's early round draft performance but going off "vibes" to objectively evaluate the GM is a great way to not win a Super Bowl. As I said, he's top-10 in free agency but his draft performance is really holding this team back. [/QUOTE]
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