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Packers in best shape for next three years (ESPN)
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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 615899"><p>That's a myopic view.</p><p></p><p>First of all, Daniels will not be cheap, and if Hayward plays well enough to be a "must sign", he'll be very much in demand in FA and very expensive considering his age. Even if he proves merely adequate or worse, he'd still be in demand as a either a mid-priced cover corner or in a return to nickel corner, the latter a position that has seen some significant price escalation along with the increasing frequency of 3-wide sets and the trend toward TE/WR hybrids over the years.</p><p></p><p>Since the argument is that the Packers have plenty of cap for 2016, let's take the example that best plays into that.</p><p></p><p>Daniels gets his nice second contract. No problem. Hayward has a nice year and becomes quite expensive, but Randall develops nicely over his first year, showing some promise in dime or even in injury replacement spot duty. Hayward departs and Randall steps in. Check.</p><p></p><p>All the other defensive free agents are expendable as the argument goes.</p><p></p><p>These free agents include Raji, Guion, Perry and Neal. We can throw in Richardson as a dime safety, core special teams tackler and Burnett's backup. Lets assume Peppers continues to play at a high level and finishes out his contract in 2016.</p><p></p><p>Now take a look at the guys on the bench behind those 5 free agents. I think you're going to see little or no experience. And the guys who have a little experience, Pennel and Elliot in particular, have hardly inspired confidence. Then ask the question, how much experience (first time or supplemental) do you think those bench players will get in 2015? Not much if things go according to plan.</p><p></p><p>So if you sign <em>none</em> of those 5 FA, then you're replacing 4 high snap count guys, 3 of them potentially starters if Matthews continues in the ILB rotation into 2016, with rookies or inexperienced bench players, some of whom have not shown particular promise. And Randall will be in a prove-it year as a first time starter. And that's in a defense that is not all that good to begin with.</p><p></p><p>So, when looking at any one of these FA's outside Daniels, expendibility can certainly be argued. But collectively it cannot. Some of these guys will need to be brought back, even if it is difficult to judge specifically which ones at this juncture. That's going to take a chunk out of the cap, reducing the illusory bounty of cap carryover to 2017 when several quite expensive core players hit free agency.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 615899"] That's a myopic view. First of all, Daniels will not be cheap, and if Hayward plays well enough to be a "must sign", he'll be very much in demand in FA and very expensive considering his age. Even if he proves merely adequate or worse, he'd still be in demand as a either a mid-priced cover corner or in a return to nickel corner, the latter a position that has seen some significant price escalation along with the increasing frequency of 3-wide sets and the trend toward TE/WR hybrids over the years. Since the argument is that the Packers have plenty of cap for 2016, let's take the example that best plays into that. Daniels gets his nice second contract. No problem. Hayward has a nice year and becomes quite expensive, but Randall develops nicely over his first year, showing some promise in dime or even in injury replacement spot duty. Hayward departs and Randall steps in. Check. All the other defensive free agents are expendable as the argument goes. These free agents include Raji, Guion, Perry and Neal. We can throw in Richardson as a dime safety, core special teams tackler and Burnett's backup. Lets assume Peppers continues to play at a high level and finishes out his contract in 2016. Now take a look at the guys on the bench behind those 5 free agents. I think you're going to see little or no experience. And the guys who have a little experience, Pennel and Elliot in particular, have hardly inspired confidence. Then ask the question, how much experience (first time or supplemental) do you think those bench players will get in 2015? Not much if things go according to plan. So if you sign [I]none[/I] of those 5 FA, then you're replacing 4 high snap count guys, 3 of them potentially starters if Matthews continues in the ILB rotation into 2016, with rookies or inexperienced bench players, some of whom have not shown particular promise. And Randall will be in a prove-it year as a first time starter. And that's in a defense that is not all that good to begin with. So, when looking at any one of these FA's outside Daniels, expendibility can certainly be argued. But collectively it cannot. Some of these guys will need to be brought back, even if it is difficult to judge specifically which ones at this juncture. That's going to take a chunk out of the cap, reducing the illusory bounty of cap carryover to 2017 when several quite expensive core players hit free agency. [/QUOTE]
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