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Packers 1st round selection, #12 overall: Rashan Gary, DE
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<blockquote data-quote="Dantés" data-source="post: 892444" data-attributes="member: 12283"><p>I agree that the defense has been pretty flat at times this year, but the biggest factor in their decline has been interception regression. In my thread before the season in projecting records in the NFCN, I noted that the Packers' heavy INT figure in 2019 was probably due to come down. That just isn't a very stable stat, year over year. They're on pace to be +5 in TO margin, as opposed to +12. </p><p></p><p>One thing I noted that could offset that negative regression was that Green Bay's really low giveaway number was likely to hold steady. Rodgers' not throwing interceptions is a feature of his game, rather than a volatile stat based more on chance. And that's held true. The giveaway numbers are great, but the takeaway numbers have plummeted. </p><p></p><p>Hopefully the defense gets back on a hot streak in the playoffs. There's no structural reason why they can't. </p><p></p><p><strong>2019: Takeaways:</strong></p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">INT: 17 (3rd, TIE)</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">FUM: 8 (21st, TIE)</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">TOT: 25 (3rd)</li> </ul><p><strong>2019 Giveaways:</strong></p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">INT: 4 (1st)</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">FUM: 9 (15th, TIE)</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">TOT: 13 (2nd)</li> </ul><p><strong>2019 Differential:</strong></p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">+12</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">RANK: 3rd</li> </ul><p><strong>2020 Takeaways:</strong></p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">INT: 8 (24th, TIE)</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">FUM: 5 (23rd, TIE)</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">TOT: 13 (27th, TIE)</li> </ul><p><strong>2020 Giveaways:</strong></p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">INT: 4 (1st)</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">FUM: 5 (7th, TIE)</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">TOT: 9 (1st, TIE)</li> </ul><p><strong>2020 Differential:</strong></p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">+4</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">RANK: 10th (TIE)</li> </ul></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Dantés, post: 892444, member: 12283"] I agree that the defense has been pretty flat at times this year, but the biggest factor in their decline has been interception regression. In my thread before the season in projecting records in the NFCN, I noted that the Packers' heavy INT figure in 2019 was probably due to come down. That just isn't a very stable stat, year over year. They're on pace to be +5 in TO margin, as opposed to +12. One thing I noted that could offset that negative regression was that Green Bay's really low giveaway number was likely to hold steady. Rodgers' not throwing interceptions is a feature of his game, rather than a volatile stat based more on chance. And that's held true. The giveaway numbers are great, but the takeaway numbers have plummeted. Hopefully the defense gets back on a hot streak in the playoffs. There's no structural reason why they can't. [B]2019: Takeaways:[/B] [LIST] [*]INT: 17 (3rd, TIE) [*]FUM: 8 (21st, TIE) [*]TOT: 25 (3rd) [/LIST] [B]2019 Giveaways:[/B] [LIST] [*]INT: 4 (1st) [*]FUM: 9 (15th, TIE) [*]TOT: 13 (2nd) [/LIST] [B]2019 Differential:[/B] [LIST] [*]+12 [*]RANK: 3rd [/LIST] [B]2020 Takeaways:[/B] [LIST] [*]INT: 8 (24th, TIE) [*]FUM: 5 (23rd, TIE) [*]TOT: 13 (27th, TIE) [/LIST] [B]2020 Giveaways:[/B] [LIST] [*]INT: 4 (1st) [*]FUM: 5 (7th, TIE) [*]TOT: 9 (1st, TIE) [/LIST] [B]2020 Differential:[/B] [LIST] [*]+4 [*]RANK: 10th (TIE) [/LIST] [/QUOTE]
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Packers 1st round selection, #12 overall: Rashan Gary, DE
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