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Message: <blockquote data-quote="Dantés" data-source="post: 729314" data-attributes="member: 12283">So as we're talking about top 4 round players on defense going back to 2011, that list would include:Davon House, Nick Perry, Jerel Worthy, Mike Daniels, Casey Hayward, Jerron McMillian, Datone Jones, Haha Clinton-Dix, Khyri Thornton, and Carl Bradford. That's 10 guys. I'm stopping at 2014 because I don't see why we would use 2015/16 class data as those are the guys whose progress we're actually trying to predict. In my opinion, House, Perry, Daniels, Hayward, Jones, and Clinton-Dix made measurable forward progress, while Worthy, McMillian, Thornton, and Bradford did not. That would be 60%. But this is still a little imperfect because we're talking about guys who have already showed something, and some of these guys (esp. Bradford) never showed anything.In any case, I don't think your 35% number applies very well to the guys in question. We will see how the % plays out with the 15/16 classes. Hopefully there aren't any total whiffs in there like the four mentioned above. Personally, I think that Clark, Lowry, Fackrell, Ryan, Martinez, Randall, and Rollins have all already demonstrated more promise than Worthy, McMillian, Thornton, or Bradford ever did.</blockquote>

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